D-Backs vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Phillies MLB game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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D-Backs
Zac Gallen 1-1, 3.00 ERA
4
3
Apr 12, 1:35 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Andrew Painter 1-0, 4.82 ERA
Apr 12, 1:35 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 4 9 0
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 10 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Justin Crawford called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 I. Vargas LF5110001.2000.600
2 C. Carroll DH4020011.5001.350
3 G. Perdomo SS4100000.0000.000
4 J. Fernandez 3B4121001.5001.000
5 K. Marte 2B0000010.0001.000
6 L. Baker 1B0000000.0000.000
7 J. McCann C4021002.5001.250
8 A. Thomas CF3000002.0000.000
9 J. Barrosa RF4000003.0000.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4122100.5001.750
2 K. Schwarber DH4120001.5001.250
3 B. Harper 1B3021010.6671.750
4 B. Marsh LF4020000.5001.000
5 B. Stott 2B4010001.2500.500
6 A. García RF4000001.0000.000
7 A. Bohm 3B3000011.0000.250
8 R. Marchán C4000000.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF4110001.2500.750

D-Backs vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Phillies
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs +130, Phillies -130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 45%
  • Phillies: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 45%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.