MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Bailey Ober [5/30/2026]
MLB
Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Mariners MLB game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
7
8
Apr 12, 1:40AM T-Mobile Park
Apr 12, 1:40AM T-Mobile Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Astros | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 1 |
Mariners | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
J.P. Crawford singles to shallow left field. Leo Rivas to second. Brendan Donovan to third. Cole Young scores.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Walker | 1B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 2 | Y. Alvarez | DH | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.667 |
| 3 | I. Paredes | 3B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 4 | J. Altuve | 2B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 5 | C. Correa | SS | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .600 | 1.400 |
| 6 | J. Loperfido | LF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .500 | 1.350 |
| 7 | C. Smith | RF | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .800 | 2.000 |
| 8 | Y. Diaz | C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | T. Trammell | CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .500 | 1.350 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Crawford | SS | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .667 | 1.467 |
| 2 | C. Raleigh | C | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 1.583 |
| 3 | J. Rodríguez | CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 2.000 |
| 4 | J. Naylor | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | R. Arozarena | LF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 6 | L. Raley | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | C. Young | 2B | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 8 | B. Donovan | PH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 1.000 |
| 9 | L. Rivas | 3B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .000 | 0.500 |
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Astros vs. Mariners: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Astros vs. Mariners
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM ET
- Venue: T-Mobile Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mariners favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5
- Moneyline Odds: Astros +138, Mariners -135
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Astros: 41%
- Mariners: 59%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 41%, while the Mariners have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mariners are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at T-Mobile Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Astros vs. Mariners predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
