Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky prediction: Why Western Kentucky is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/14/2026]

Western Kentucky will take on Missouri State in men's college basketball action at E. A. Diddle Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Western Kentucky as the most likely winner of the Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Missouri State and Western Kentucky 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Western Kentucky a 76% chance of beating Missouri State. Our predicted final score has Western Kentucky winning 78-70.

According to our model, Western Kentucky (-6.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 148.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: