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Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky prediction: Why Western Kentucky is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Missouri State vs Western Kentucky predictions for college basketball Wednesday.
Western Kentucky will take on Missouri State in men's college basketball action at E. A. Diddle Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Western Kentucky as the most likely winner of the Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Missouri State and Western Kentucky 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Western Kentucky a 76% chance of defeating Missouri State. Our predicted final score has Western Kentucky winning 77-70.
According to our model, Western Kentucky (-6.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 148.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Missouri State | Western Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-105) | -6.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +245 | -300 |
| Total | o148.5 (-105) | u148.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Western Kentucky -6.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Western Kentucky | -300 |
| Total | Over 148.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Western Kentucky -6.5 at the spread.
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's men's college basketball game between Western Kentucky and Missouri State at E. A. Diddle Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky
- Date: Wednesday, January 14, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: E. A. Diddle Arena
Conclusion
We predict Western Kentucky, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Missouri State on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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