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Missouri State vs. Texas-Arlington prediction: Why Texas-Arlington is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Missouri State vs Texas-Arlington predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 6:00PM ET as Missouri State squares off with Texas-Arlington in men's college basketball action at College Park Center.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Texas-Arlington as the most likely winner of the Missouri State vs. Texas-Arlington game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Missouri State vs. Texas-Arlington prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Missouri State and Texas-Arlington 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Texas-Arlington a 58% chance of beating Missouri State. Our predicted final score has Texas-Arlington winning 73-71.
According to our model, Missouri State (+3.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 144.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Missouri State vs. Texas-Arlington odds
We have sourced the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Missouri State | Texas-Arlington |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-115) | -3.5 (-104) |
| Moneyline | +138 | -160 |
| Total | o144.5 (-112) | u144.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Missouri State vs. Texas-Arlington picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri State +3.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Missouri State | +138 |
| Total | Under 144.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Missouri State +3.5 at the spread.
Missouri State vs. Texas-Arlington game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball game between Texas-Arlington and Missouri State at College Park Center is scheduled to start at 6:00PM ET.
- Who: Missouri State vs. Texas-Arlington
- Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
- Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: College Park Center
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Conclusion
We predict Texas-Arlington, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Missouri State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Missouri State vs. Texas-Arlington insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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