...
...
Read Article
Missouri State vs. New Mexico State prediction: New Mexico State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Missouri State vs New Mexico State predictions for college basketball Thursday.
New Mexico State and Missouri State will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Pan American Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts New Mexico State as the most likely winner of the Missouri State vs. New Mexico State game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Missouri State vs. New Mexico State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Missouri State and New Mexico State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives New Mexico State a 74% chance of beating Missouri State. Our predicted final score has New Mexico State winning 76-69.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and Missouri State and New Mexico State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 144.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
Missouri State vs. New Mexico State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Missouri State | New Mexico State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-110) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +230 | -260 |
| Total | o144.5 (-110) | u144.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Missouri State vs. New Mexico State picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | New Mexico State -6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | New Mexico State | -260 |
| Total | Over 144.5 | -110 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is New Mexico State to win.
Missouri State vs. New Mexico State game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between New Mexico State and Missouri State at Pan American Center is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Missouri State vs. New Mexico State
- Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Pan American Center
Conclusion
We predict New Mexico State, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Missouri State on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Missouri State vs. New Mexico State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure