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Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee prediction: Why Middle Tennessee is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Middle Tennessee will face Missouri State in men's college basketball action at Murphy Center on Saturday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Middle Tennessee as the most likely winner of the Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Missouri State and Middle Tennessee 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Middle Tennessee a 68% chance of beating Missouri State. Our predicted final score has Middle Tennessee winning 73-68.
According to our model, Missouri State (+5.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 138.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Missouri State | Middle Tennessee |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-104) | -5.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +235 | -250 |
| Total | o138.5 (-106) | u138.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri State +5.5 | -104 |
| Moneyline | Missouri State | +235 |
| Total | Over 138.5 | -106 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Missouri State +5.5 at the spread.
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Middle Tennessee and Missouri State at Murphy Center is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Murphy Center
Conclusion
We predict Middle Tennessee, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Missouri State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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