Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee prediction: Why Middle Tennessee is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/17/2026]

Middle Tennessee and Missouri State will meet in men's college basketball action at Murphy Center on Saturday, with tipoff at 6:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Middle Tennessee as the most likely winner of the Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Missouri State and Middle Tennessee 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Middle Tennessee a 75% chance of beating Missouri State. Our predicted final score has Middle Tennessee winning 74-68.

According to our model, Missouri State (+7.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 139.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.

Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: