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Mississippi State vs. Texas prediction: Why Texas is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Mississippi State vs Texas predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Texas will take on Mississippi State in men's college basketball action at Moody Center on Saturday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Texas as the most likely winner of the Mississippi State vs. Texas game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Mississippi State vs. Texas prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Mississippi State and Texas 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Texas an 83% chance of defeating Mississippi State. Our predicted final score has Texas winning 84-73.
According to our model, Texas (-8.5) has a 62% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 157.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Mississippi State vs. Texas odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mississippi State | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-102) | -8.5 (-120) |
| Moneyline | +385 | -475 |
| Total | o157.5 (-105) | u157.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mississippi State vs. Texas picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas -8.5 | -120 |
| Moneyline | Texas | -475 |
| Total | Under 157.5 | -115 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas -8.5 at the spread.
Mississippi State vs. Texas game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between Texas and Mississippi State at Moody Center is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Mississippi State vs. Texas
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Moody Center
Conclusion
We predict Texas, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat Mississippi State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mississippi State vs. Texas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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