Mississippi State vs. Kansas State prediction: Mississippi State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/20/2025]

Kansas State will square off with Mississippi State, in what is expected to be a tight Men's College Basketball game, at T-Mobile Center on Thursday, commencing at 9:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Mississippi State a slight edge with a 54% win probability over Kansas State.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's Mississippi State vs. Kansas State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Mississippi State vs. Kansas State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Mississippi State and Kansas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Mississippi State a 54% chance of beating Kansas State. Our predicted final score has Mississippi State winning 79-78.

According to our model, Kansas State (+1.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Mississippi State vs. Kansas State odds

We have sourced the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mississippi State vs. Kansas State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 164.5 total points.

Mississippi State vs. Kansas State game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between Kansas State and Mississippi State at T-Mobile Center is scheduled to begin at 9:30PM ET.

• Who: Mississippi State vs. Kansas State
• Date: Thursday, November 20, 2025
• Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: T-Mobile Center

Conclusion

We predict Mississippi State, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Kansas State on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mississippi State vs. Kansas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.