Minnesota United vs. Austin FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/10/2026]

MLS action continues on Sunday at 7:00 PM ET as Austin squares off with Minnesota at Allianz Field.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Minnesota as the most likely winner of the Minnesota vs. Austin game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Minnesota United vs. Austin FC prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLS game between Minnesota and Austin, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 58.8% chance of Minnesota winning, a 19.0% chance for Austin, and a 22.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.

Minnesota United vs. Austin FC odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Minnesota	Austin	Draw
-130	+340	+290

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-165	+115

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Minnesota United vs. Austin FC picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Minnesota	-130
Total Goals	Under 2.5	+115

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Minnesota to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Minnesota United vs. Austin FC: Correct score predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Minnesota win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
MIN 1-0 AUS	10.9%
MIN 1-1 AUS	10.5%
MIN 2-0 AUS	10.2%

Minnesota United vs. Austin FC game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between Minnesota and Austin in MLS at Allianz Field is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota United vs. Austin FC
• Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Allianz Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Minnesota has a 58.8% win probability on Sunday, Austin has a 19.0% win probability, and there is a 22.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.