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Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction: Boston Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [5/4/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox matchup.

Minnesota Twins-Boston Red Sox Predictions and Game Preview.
Fenway Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Boston Red Sox this Sunday.

The Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins will meet in MLB action at Fenway Park on Sunday, starting at 1:35PM ET.

The Red Sox will send Garrett Crochet (3-2, 2.04 ERA) to the mound, while the Twins will counter with Chris Paddack (0-3, 5.60 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Minnesota-Boston game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Red Sox with a win probability of 67%, while the Twins have 33%."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Twins vs. Red Sox predictions page.

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Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Twins and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 67% chance of beating the Twins.

According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:28PM, May 4
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Twins
Win %
33%
67%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Red Sox
Twins MIN
Win %
33%
67%
See Matchup
Red Sox BOS
Chris Paddack 0-3, 5.60 ERA
Garrett Crochet 3-2, 2.05 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Twins vs. Red Sox Odds [5/4/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Twins Red Sox
Run Line +1.5 (-118) -1.5 (+105)
Moneyline +170 -192
Total o8.5 (-115) u8.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Twins vs. Red Sox Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Twins vs. Red Sox matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Twins vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB action between the Red Sox and Twins at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 1:35PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Twins vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Minnesota vs. Boston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Twins on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Twins vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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