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Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction: Boston Predicted to Win Saturday's MLB Matchup [5/3/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Saturday's Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox matchup.

Minnesota Twins-Boston Red Sox Predictions and Game Preview.
Fenway Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Boston Red Sox this Saturday.

The Boston Red Sox will square off with the Minnesota Twins in MLB action at Fenway Park on Saturday, commencing at 4:10PM ET.

Hunter Dobbins (2-0, 2.46 ERA) will start on the mound for the Red Sox, up against Bailey Ober (3-1, 4.13 ERA) for the Twins.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Minnesota-Boston game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Red Sox are more likely to win, while the Twins have a lower chance of victory."

For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Twins vs. Red Sox predictions page.

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Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB game between the Twins and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Red Sox a 52% chance of beating the Twins.

According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 51% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:27PM, May 3
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Twins
Win %
48%
52%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Red Sox
Twins MIN
Win %
48%
52%
See Matchup
Red Sox BOS
Bailey Ober 3-1, 4.13 ERA
Hunter Dobbins 2-0, 2.46 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Twins vs. Red Sox Odds [5/3/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Twins Red Sox
Run Line +1.5 (-192) -1.5 (+160)
Moneyline +105 -115
Total o9.5 (+100) u9.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Twins vs. Red Sox Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Twins vs. Red Sox matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Twins vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Twins at Fenway Park is scheduled to begin at 4:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Twins vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Minnesota vs. Boston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

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Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Twins on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Twins vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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