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Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction: Boston Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [5/2/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Friday's Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox matchup.

Minnesota Twins-Boston Red Sox Predictions and Game Preview.
Fenway Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Boston Red Sox this Friday.

The Boston Red Sox will square off with the Minnesota Twins, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Fenway Park on Friday, beginning at 7:10PM ET.

The Red Sox will send Brayan Bello (2-0, 3.27 ERA) to the mound, while the Twins are going with Joe Ryan (2-2, 3.18 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Minnesota-Boston game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Red Sox' chance of winning is 51%, while the Twins' is 49%."

For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Twins vs. Red Sox predictions page.

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Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB matchup between the Twins and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Red Sox a 51% chance of defeating the Twins.

According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:27PM, May 2
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Twins
Win %
49%
51%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Red Sox
Twins MIN
Win %
49%
51%
See Matchup
Red Sox BOS
Joe Ryan 2-2, 3.18 ERA
Brayan Bello 2-0, 3.27 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Twins vs. Red Sox Odds [5/2/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Twins Red Sox
Run Line -1.5 (+165) +1.5 (-182)
Moneyline +100 -116
Total o9 (-105) u9 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Twins vs. Red Sox Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Twins vs. Red Sox matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Twins vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB action between the Red Sox and Twins at Fenway Park is scheduled to start at 7:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Twins vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Minnesota vs. Boston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Twins on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Twins vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most accurate projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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