Timberwolves vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Wednesday's NBA Cup matchup [11/26/2025]

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves will lock horns in NBA Cup action at Paycom Center on Wednesday, with tipoff at 7:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell, while the Timberwolves will rely on Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Wolves vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win NBA Cup game?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA game between the Timberwolves and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 74% chance of defeating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 117-109.

According to our model, the Timberwolves (+8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 226.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Timberwolves	Thunder
Spread	+8.5 (-105)	-8.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+295	-350
Total	o226.5 (-114)	u226.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Timberwolves +8.5	-105
Moneyline	Timberwolves	+295
Total	Under 226.5	-106

According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Timberwolves +8.5 at the spread.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder player props

Betting on Timberwolves vs. Thunder NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 25 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 29 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Timberwolves prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Anthony Edwards	25	6	4	3	45
Julius Randle	21	7	6	2	43
Jaden McDaniels	15	5	2	2	31
D. DiVincenzo	13	4	4	3	29
Naz Reid	11	5	2	2	25

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	29	5	6	2	50
Chet Holmgren	18	7	2	2	36
Ajay Mitchell	14	3	3	1	29
Isaiah Joe	12	3	2	3	22
I. Hartenstein	11	9	3	0	31

Wolves vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Thunder and Timberwolves at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center
• Tournament details: 2025 Emirates NBA Cup

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves on Wednesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Timberwolves vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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