Timberwolves vs. Mavericks prediction: Minnesota to win, Anthony Edwards projected for big game in Wednesday's NBA matchup [1/28/2026]

NBA action continues on Wednesday at 8:30 PM ET as the Minnesota Timberwolves take on the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature players like Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and Brandon Williams, while the Timberwolves will look to Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Wolves vs. Mavs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Timberwolves and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Timberwolves a 75% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 117-110.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+8.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 229.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +8.5 at the spread.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks player props

Betting on Timberwolves vs. Mavericks NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.

Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 27 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Cooper Flagg is projected to have 21 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Mavericks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Timberwolves prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:

Mavericks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:

Wolves vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Mavericks and Timberwolves at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center

Conclusion

We predict the Timberwolves, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Wednesday, with Anthony Edwards projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Timberwolves vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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