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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
118
105
Jan 29, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
Jan 29, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 37 | 13 | 56 | 12 | 118 |
Mavericks | 31 | 9 | 52 | 13 | 105 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
90%
10%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 37 | 13 | 56 | 12 | 118 |
Mavericks | 31 | 9 | 52 | 13 | 105 |
Q4 00:22 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:34 Naz Reid makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Julius Randle misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 2:21 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Julius Randle makes two point driving finger roll layup (Mike Conley assists)
Q4 3:00 P.J. Washington makes two point running layup (Max Christie assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Naz Reid makes two point jump shot
118-105
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Max Christie defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point stepback jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
116-105
Mavericks turnover
+2
Julius Randle makes two point driving finger roll layup (Mike Conley assists)
118-105
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running layup (Max Christie assists)
118-105
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
116-105
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Mavericks violation
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
Brandon Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Mike Conley draws the foul)
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Max Christie)
+3
Mike Conley makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)
118-105
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
118-105
+2
Naz Reid makes two point driving floating jump shot (Mike Conley assists)
118-105
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
118-105
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid turnover (Max Christie steals)
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot
118-105
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
118-105
Mike Conley personal foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-92
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-105
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
106-91
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Brandon Williams)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Naz Reid makes two point jump shot
118-105
Mavericks turnover
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Brandon Williams personal foul
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Jaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point jump shot
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert misses two point layup
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point jump shot
118-105
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaden Hardy draws the foul)
Donte DiVincenzo turnover (lost ball)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
118-105
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot (Jaden Hardy assists)
106-92
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
118-105
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point driving layup (Brandon Williams assists)
101-89
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
118-105
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-81
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-105
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot
106-92
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-80
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
118-105
Timberwolves personal foul
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
118-105
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
118-105
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
P.J. Washington blocks Joan Beringer's two point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
+2
Joan Beringer makes two point jump shot
106-92
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
Instant replay
End of 3rd Quarter.
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-105
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Max Christie)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-105
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running alley-oop layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
106-92
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
118-105
Mavericks offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Jaden Hardy misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-105
Dwight Powell personal foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-105
Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves personal foul
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-73
Dwight Powell personal foul (Joan Beringer draws the foul)
Anthony Edwards misses two point running pullup jump shot
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Timberwolves defensive rebound
+1
Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-105
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Naz Reid makes three point jump shot
106-92
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
118-105
Naz Reid turnover (traveling)
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
106-92
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point turnaround bank jump shot
75-63
Instant replay (Challenge)
Naz Reid personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark, Joan Beringer)
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 1
118-105
Naji Marshall shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
75-63
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-63
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
75-63
Max Christie personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-63
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-105
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running finger roll layup (Naji Marshall assists)
75-63
Anthony Edwards misses two point driving layup
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
75-61
+2
Naz Reid makes two point jump shot
75-59
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-105
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
75-59
Mike Conley offensive rebound
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-63
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Rudy Gobert personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)
75-63
Max Christie turnover (lost ball) (Mike Conley steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot
75-63
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
75-63
Donte DiVincenzo misses two point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks turnover (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses two point jump shot
Max Christie misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jaden McDaniels shooting foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-105
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
118-105
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Daniel Gafford personal foul
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point driving layup
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)
118-105
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot
63-52
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot
75-63
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
118-105
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
118-105
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-40
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-40
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Donte DiVincenzo makes two point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)
50-40
Mavericks turnover
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses three point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-40
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-40
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point jump shot
75-63
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point jump shot
63-52
Mavericks turnover
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-52
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-52
Joan Beringer personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves violation
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-52
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-52
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-40
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-40
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
Timberwolves personal foul
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Joan Beringer)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
63-52
Naz Reid offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
63-52
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
63-52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
63-52
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
50-40
Dwight Powell turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
+2
Bones Hyland makes two point driving reverse layup
50-40
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-40
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-40
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Jaden Hardy, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard personal foul
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
50-40
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses two point pullup jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
46-36
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo turnover (bad pass) (Miles Kelly steals)
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Miles Kelly defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
46-36
Miles Kelly defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Joan Beringer)
P.J. Washington personal foul (Joan Beringer draws the foul)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Joan Beringer misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-31
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Miles Kelly, Ryan Nembhard, Jaden Hardy, Naji Marshall)
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Joan Beringer makes two point jump shot
37-31
Mavericks turnover
Naz Reid turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point running pullup jump shot
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
37-31
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+1
Bones Hyland makes regular free throw 1 of 1
46-36
Mavericks personal foul
+2
Bones Hyland makes two point jump shot (Joan Beringer assists)
33-29
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaylen Clark, Bones Hyland, Joan Beringer)
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, Miles Kelly, Ryan Nembhard, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy)
End of 1st Quarter.
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Brandon Williams)
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-31
+2
Joan Beringer makes two point jump shot
31-28
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Mike Conley makes three point jump shot
37-31
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Brandon Williams turnover (bad pass) (Naz Reid steals)
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaden Hardy makes two point jump shot
37-31
+3
Naz Reid makes three point jump shot
37-31
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
26-28
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-28
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-28
Mavericks personal foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark, Joan Beringer)
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-23
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Naz Reid shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams)
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-24
+2
Naz Reid makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Mike Conley assists)
21-22
+2
Jaden Hardy makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
19-22
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
19-20
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point putback layup
17-20
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses two point driving layup
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark, Jaden McDaniels)
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Naji Marshall blocks Julius Randle's two point putback layup
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Mike Conley misses three point running jump shot
Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Naz Reid steals)
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Brandon Williams makes three point jump shot (Dwight Powell assists)
17-18
+2
Julius Randle makes two point jump shot
17-15
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-15
Mike Conley shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
Jaden McDaniels turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Rudy Gobert shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Jaden Hardy, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-14
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
Mavericks offensive rebound
+2
Julius Randle makes two point stepback jump shot
15-13
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point driving reverse layup
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses three point running jump shot
P.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Julius Randle shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
13-13
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Naji Marshall shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Max Christie, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Dwight Powell turnover (lost ball) (Anthony Edwards steals)
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Dwight Powell misses two point tip layup
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
0-0
Max Christie misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Julius Randle makes two point pullup jump shot
13-12
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point running layup (Caleb Martin assists)
11-12
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
P.J. Washington blocks Anthony Edwards's two point driving layup
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point driving layup
11-10
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-8
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-8
Dwight Powell shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
Rudy Gobert misses two point driving layup
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Max Christie misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Daniel Gafford shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-8
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-8
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Daniel Gafford personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point dunk
7-8
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point layup
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Rudy Gobert blocks Daniel Gafford's two point putback layup
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point running pullup jump shot
Anthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Daniel Gafford steals)
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point layup (P.J. Washington assists)
7-5
Rudy Gobert shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 1
7-6
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
+3
Jaden McDaniels makes three point stepback jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)
7-3
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-3
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Max Christie misses three point running pullup jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point running pullup jump shot
Daniel Gafford turnover (lost ball) (Rudy Gobert steals)
+2
Julius Randle makes two point driving dunk
4-2
P.J. Washington turnover (lost ball) (Julius Randle steals)
Rudy Gobert misses two point driving dunk
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point running layup (Caleb Martin assists)
2-2
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses two point driving layup
Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
+2
Julius Randle makes two point stepback jump shot (Jaden McDaniels assists)
2-0
P.J. Washington turnover (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
P.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
Timberwolves delay of game violation
Rudy Gobert vs. Daniel Gafford (Caleb Martin gains possession)
Mavericks lineup change (Daniel Gafford, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Naji Marshall)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 3 | J. McDaniels | 8 | 2 | 2 |
| F | 30 | J. Randle | 31 | 5 | 4 |
| G | 5 | A. Edwards | 20 | 6 | 6 |
| G | 10 | M. Conley | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| C-F | 11 | N. Reid | 23 | 8 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-C | 7 | D. Powell | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| F | 25 | P. Washington | 21 | 7 | 2 |
| G | 0 | M. Christie | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| G | 1 | J. Hardy | 11 | 2 | 3 |
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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
- Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5
- Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves -325, Mavericks +275
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Timberwolves: 75%
- Mavericks: 25%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 118-110 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 75%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 25%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Timberwolves vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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