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Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston State prediction: Sam Houston State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston State predictions for college basketball Wednesday.
Sam Houston State will square off with Middle Tennessee in men's college basketball action at Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Sam Houston State as the most likely winner of the Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston State game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Middle Tennessee and Sam Houston State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Sam Houston State a 62% chance of defeating Middle Tennessee. Our predicted final score has Sam Houston State winning 78-75.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and Middle Tennessee and Sam Houston State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 152.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Middle Tennessee | Sam Houston State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-105) | -3.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +154 | -185 |
| Total | o152.5 (-105) | u152.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Middle Tennessee +3.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Middle Tennessee | +154 |
| Total | Over 152.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 152.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston State game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's men's college basketball matchup between Sam Houston State and Middle Tennessee at Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston State
- Date: Wednesday, February 18, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict Sam Houston State, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Middle Tennessee on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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