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Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State prediction: Why Murray State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Middle Tennessee vs Murray State predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Sunday at 7:30PM ET as Middle Tennessee faces off with the favored Murray State in men's college basketball action at John Gray Gymnasium.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Murray State as the most likely winner of the Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NCAA basketball matchup between Middle Tennessee and Murray State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Murray State a 76% chance of defeating Middle Tennessee. Our predicted final score has Murray State winning 82-75.
According to our model, Murray State (-6.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 161.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State odds
We have researched the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Middle Tennessee | Murray State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-110) | -6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +240 | -250 |
| Total | o161.5 (-105) | u161.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Murray State -6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Murray State | -250 |
| Total | Under 161.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Murray State to win.
Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball matchup between Murray State and Middle Tennessee at John Gray Gymnasium is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State
- Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: John Gray Gymnasium
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Conclusion
We predict Murray State, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Middle Tennessee on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Middle Tennessee vs. Murray State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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