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Michigan vs. Texas prediction: Why Texas is favored to win women's March Madness Elite Eight matchup [3/30/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Michigan vs Texas predictions for college basketball Monday.
Texas will square off with Michigan in March Madness Elite Eight action at Dickies Arena on Monday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Texas as the most likely winner of the Michigan vs. Texas game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Michigan vs. Texas prediction: Who will win and advance to the Final Four?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NCAAW Tournament matchup between Michigan and Texas, forming part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Texas a 77% chance of beating Michigan.
According to our model, the 137.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Michigan vs. Texas odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Michigan | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9.5 (-105) | -9.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +370 | -469 |
| Total | o137.5 (-112) | u137.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Michigan vs. Texas picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Michigan +9.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Michigan | +370 |
| Total | Under 137.5 | -105 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Michigan to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Michigan vs. Texas game-day updates and essential details
Monday's women's basketball game between Texas and Michigan at Dickies Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Michigan vs. Texas
- Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Dickies Arena
- March Madness stage: Elite Eight
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Conclusion
We predict Texas, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Michigan this women's March Madness Elite Eight matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Michigan vs. Texas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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