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Kentucky vs. Texas prediction: Why Texas is favored to win women's March Madness Sweet Sixteen matchup [3/28/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Kentucky vs Texas predictions for college basketball Saturday.

Kentucky-Texas Predictions and Game Preview.
Kentucky vs. Texas March Madness prediction for Saturday, March 28, 2026.

Texas will take on Kentucky in March Madness Sweet Sixteen action at Dickies Arena on Saturday, beginning at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Texas as the most likely winner of the Kentucky vs. Texas game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Kentucky vs. Texas prediction: Who will win and advance to the Elite Eight?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAAW Tournament game between Kentucky and Texas, forming part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Texas an 86% chance of beating Kentucky.

According to our model, the over/under total of 132.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Kentucky vs. Texas odds

We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Kentucky Texas
Spread +14.5 (-106) -14.5 (-110)
Moneyline +880 -1351
Total o132.5 (-112) u132.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kentucky vs. Texas picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Kentucky +14.5 -106
Moneyline Kentucky +880
Total Under 132.5 -108

According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kentucky to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Kentucky vs. Texas game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's women's basketball matchup between Texas and Kentucky at Dickies Arena is scheduled to commence at 3:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Kentucky vs. Texas
  • Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
  • Venue: Dickies Arena
  • March Madness stage: Sweet 16

College basketball betting and fantasy promos and codes

Make the most of Dimers' Kentucky vs. Texas predictions by exploring the below offers from OG, Bet365, BetMGM, and Thrillzz.





Conclusion

We predict Texas, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat Kentucky this women's March Madness Sweet Sixteen matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kentucky vs. Texas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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