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Kentucky vs. Texas prediction: Why Texas is favored to win women's March Madness Sweet Sixteen matchup [3/28/2026]
Get Kentucky vs Texas predictions for college basketball Saturday.

Texas will take on Kentucky in March Madness Sweet Sixteen action at Dickies Arena on Saturday, beginning at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Texas as the most likely winner of the Kentucky vs. Texas game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Kentucky vs. Texas prediction: Who will win and advance to the Elite Eight?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAAW Tournament game between Kentucky and Texas, forming part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Texas an 86% chance of beating Kentucky.
According to our model, the over/under total of 132.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Kentucky vs. Texas odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kentucky | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14.5 (-106) | -14.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +880 | -1351 |
| Total | o132.5 (-112) | u132.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kentucky vs. Texas picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kentucky +14.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Kentucky | +880 |
| Total | Under 132.5 | -108 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kentucky to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kentucky vs. Texas game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's women's basketball matchup between Texas and Kentucky at Dickies Arena is scheduled to commence at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Kentucky vs. Texas
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Dickies Arena
- March Madness stage: Sweet 16
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Conclusion
We predict Texas, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat Kentucky this women's March Madness Sweet Sixteen matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kentucky vs. Texas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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