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Michigan vs. Purdue prediction: Why Michigan is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Michigan vs Purdue predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Purdue will face Michigan in men's college basketball action at Mackey Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 6:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Michigan as the most likely winner of the Michigan vs. Purdue game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Michigan vs. Purdue prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball game between Michigan and Purdue 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Michigan a 56% chance of defeating Purdue. Our predicted final score has Michigan winning 79-77.
According to our model, Purdue (+2.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 156.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Michigan vs. Purdue odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Michigan | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-105) | +2.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +124 |
| Total | o156.5 (-110) | u156.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Michigan vs. Purdue picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Purdue +2.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Purdue | +124 |
| Total | Under 156.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Purdue +2.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Michigan vs. Purdue game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball action between Purdue and Michigan at Mackey Arena is scheduled to begin at 6:30 PM ET.
- Who: Michigan vs. Purdue
- Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
- Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
- Venue: Mackey Arena
Conclusion
We predict Michigan, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Purdue on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Michigan vs. Purdue insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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