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Michigan vs. Penn State prediction: Why Michigan is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/6/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Michigan vs Penn State predictions for college basketball Tuesday.

Michigan-Penn State Predictions and Game Preview.
Michigan vs. Penn State men's college basketball prediction for Tuesday, January 6, 2026.

Penn State and Michigan will meet in men's college basketball action at Bryce Jordan Center on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Michigan as the most likely winner of the Michigan vs. Penn State game.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Michigan vs. Penn State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball game between Michigan and Penn State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Michigan a 93% chance of defeating Penn State. Our predicted final score has Michigan winning 89-71.

According to our model, Penn State (+23.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 169.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.

 

Michigan vs. Penn State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Michigan Penn State
Spread -23.5 (-115) +23.5 (-105)
Moneyline -6502 +2400
Total o169.5 (-105) u169.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Michigan vs. Penn State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Penn State +23.5 -105
Moneyline Penn State +2400
Total Under 169.5 -110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penn State +23.5 at the spread.

 

Michigan vs. Penn State game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's men's college basketball game between Penn State and Michigan at Bryce Jordan Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Michigan vs. Penn State
  • Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
  • Venue: Bryce Jordan Center

Conclusion

We predict Michigan, with a 93% win probability, will likely beat Penn State on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Michigan vs. Penn State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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