Michigan vs. Michigan State prediction: Why Michigan is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/30/2026]

Michigan State and Michigan are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Jack Breslin Students Events Center on Friday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Michigan a slight edge with a 52% win probability over Michigan State.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's Michigan vs. Michigan State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Michigan vs. Michigan State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NCAA basketball game between Michigan and Michigan State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Michigan a 52% chance of defeating Michigan State. Our predicted final score has Michigan winning 75-74.

According to our model, Michigan State (+2.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 149.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Michigan vs. Michigan State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Michigan vs. Michigan State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Michigan State to win.

Michigan vs. Michigan State game-day updates and essential details

Friday's men's college basketball action between Michigan State and Michigan at Jack Breslin Students Events Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Michigan vs. Michigan State
• Date: Friday, January 30, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Conclusion

We predict Michigan, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Michigan State on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Michigan vs. Michigan State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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