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Michigan State vs. Minnesota prediction: Why Michigan State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/4/2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Michigan State vs Minnesota predictions for college basketball Wednesday.

Michigan State-Minnesota Predictions and Game Preview.
Michigan State vs. Minnesota men's college basketball prediction for Wednesday, February 4, 2026.

Minnesota will square off with the favored Michigan State in men's college basketball action at Williams Arena on Wednesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Michigan State as the most likely winner of the Michigan State vs. Minnesota game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Michigan State vs. Minnesota prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Michigan State and Minnesota 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Michigan State an 80% chance of defeating Minnesota. Our predicted final score has Michigan State winning 72-64.

According to our model, Minnesota (+8.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 136.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

 

Michigan State vs. Minnesota odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Michigan State Minnesota
Spread -8.5 (-102) +8.5 (-115)
Moneyline -375 +360
Total o136.5 (-110) u136.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Michigan State vs. Minnesota picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Michigan State -8.5 -102
Moneyline Michigan State -375
Total Over 136.5 -110

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 136.5 total points.

 

Michigan State vs. Minnesota game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball action between Minnesota and Michigan State at Williams Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Michigan State vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
  • Venue: Williams Arena

Conclusion

We predict Michigan State, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Minnesota on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Michigan State vs. Minnesota insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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