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Michigan State vs. Indiana prediction: Why Michigan State is favored to win women's college basketball matchup [1/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Michigan State vs Indiana predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Indiana will face the favored Michigan State in women's college basketball action at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall on New Year's Day, starting at 12:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Michigan State as the most likely winner of the Michigan State vs. Indiana game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Michigan State vs. Indiana prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's women's basketball matchup between Michigan State and Indiana 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Michigan State a 57% chance of defeating Indiana.
According to our model, the over/under total of 143.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Michigan State vs. Indiana odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Michigan State | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -10.5 (-110) | +10.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -400 | +380 |
| Total | o143.5 (-110) | u143.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Michigan State vs. Indiana picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Indiana +10.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Indiana | +380 |
| Total | Under 143.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Indiana to win.
Michigan State vs. Indiana game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's women's basketball action between Indiana and Michigan State at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Michigan State vs. Indiana
- Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Venue: Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall
Conclusion
We predict Michigan State, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Indiana on New Year's Day.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Michigan State vs. Indiana insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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