Michigan State vs. Indiana prediction: Why Michigan State is favored to win women's college basketball matchup [1/1/2026]

Indiana will face the favored Michigan State in women's college basketball action at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall on New Year's Day, starting at 12:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Michigan State as the most likely winner of the Michigan State vs. Indiana game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Michigan State vs. Indiana prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's women's basketball matchup between Michigan State and Indiana 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Michigan State a 57% chance of defeating Indiana.

According to our model, the over/under total of 143.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Michigan State vs. Indiana odds

We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Michigan State vs. Indiana picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: