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Heat vs. Magic prediction: Orlando favored to win Friday's NBA game [12/5/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic predictions for NBA Friday.
The Orlando Magic will square off with the Miami Heat in NBA action at Kia Center on Friday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Magic as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. Magic game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Magic lineup will feature stars like Franz Wagner, Desmond Bane and Paolo Banchero, while the Heat will look to Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Heat vs. Magic prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA matchup between the Heat and Magic 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Magic a 67% chance of defeating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Magic winning 122-117.
According to our model, the Heat (+5.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 241.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Heat vs. Magic odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Heat | Magic |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-108) | -5.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +180 | -218 |
| Total | o241.5 (-108) | u241.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Heat vs. Magic picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Heat +5.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Magic | -218 |
| Total | Under 241.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Under 241.5 total points.
Heat vs. Magic player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Heat vs. Magic matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kia Center.
Norman Powell is expected to lead the Heat with 20 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists, while Franz Wagner is projected to have 23 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Magic.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Heat prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 20 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 32 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Bam Adebayo | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 37 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 13 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 28 |
| Davion Mitchell | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 29 |
Magic prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Magic:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner | 23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 42 |
| Desmond Bane | 20 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 40 |
| Paolo Banchero | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 35 |
| Jalen Suggs | 16 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| Anthony Black | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
Heat vs. Magic game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Magic and Heat at Kia Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Miami Heat vs. Orlando Magic
- Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Kia Center
Conclusion
We predict the Magic, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Friday, with Franz Wagner projected for a game-high 42 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Magic insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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