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Heat vs. Lakers prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for 31 points in Sunday's NBA game [11/2/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers predictions for NBA Sunday.

Miami Heat-Los Angeles Lakers Predictions and Game Preview.
Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers NBA prediction for Sunday, November 2, 2025.

The Los Angeles Lakers and Miami Heat will meet in NBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Sunday, starting at 9:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. Lakers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature stars like Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves and Deandre Ayton, while the Heat will be led by Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell and Bam Adebayo.

LeBron James will not be on the court, with the superstar out for this one.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Heat vs. Lakers prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Heat and Lakers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Lakers a 68% chance of defeating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 119-113.

According to our model, the Lakers (-5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

Heat vs. Lakers odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Heat Lakers
Spread +5.5 (-115) -5.5 (-102)
Moneyline +176 -198
Total o233.5 (-115) u233.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Heat vs. Lakers picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Lakers -5.5 -102
Moneyline Lakers -198
Total Under 233.5 -105

According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lakers to win.

 

Heat vs. Lakers player props

NBA player props are a great way to wager on the Miami vs. LA Lakers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Andrew Wiggins is expected to lead the Heat with 20 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to have 31 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists for the Lakers.

Luka Doncic 2025.
Luka Doncic is projected to score 31 points tonight.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Heat prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Andrew Wiggins 20 5 2 2
Norman Powell 18 3 2 2
Bam Adebayo 18 9 4 2
Jaime Jaquez 13 5 3 1
Davion Mitchell 10 2 6 1

Lakers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lakers:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Luka Doncic 31 8 8 4
Austin Reaves 21 5 6 3
Deandre Ayton 15 9 1 0
Rui Hachimura 14 5 1 2
Marcus Smart 12 3 4 2

Heat vs. Lakers game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Lakers and Heat at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:30PM ET.

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Conclusion

We predict the Lakers, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Lakers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Stay informed with the latest NBA news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the latest projections for the NBA title.

Boost your NBA betting by exploring the latest NBA betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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