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Heat vs. Nets prediction: Miami favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [12/18/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Brooklyn Nets will face the favored Miami Heat in NBA action at Barclays Center on Thursday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Heat as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. Nets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nets lineup will feature players like Michael Porter, Noah Clowney and Nic Claxton, while the Heat will look to Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Jaime Jaquez.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Heat vs. Nets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Heat and Nets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Heat a 73% chance of beating the Nets. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 117-110.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Heat and Nets each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 228.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Heat vs. Nets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Heat | Nets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-105) | +7.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -270 | +225 |
| Total | o228.5 (-110) | u228.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Heat vs. Nets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Heat -7.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Heat | -270 |
| Total | Over 228.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Heat to win.
Heat vs. Nets player props
Looking for Heat vs. Nets NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Norman Powell is expected to lead the Heat with 23 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Michael Porter is projected to have 22 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists for the Nets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Heat prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 23 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 36 |
| Bam Adebayo | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 42 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 18 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 39 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| S. Fontecchio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
Nets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter | 22 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 40 |
| Noah Clowney | 15 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 29 |
| Nic Claxton | 13 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34 |
| Danny Wolf | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Ziaire Williams | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
Heat vs. Nets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Nets and Heat at Barclays Center is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Heat vs. Brooklyn Nets
- Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Conclusion
We predict the Heat, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Nets on Thursday, with Bam Adebayo projected for a game-high 42 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Nets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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