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Mercer vs. Citadel prediction: Why Mercer is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Mercer vs Citadel predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Citadel will take on the favored Mercer in men's college basketball action at McAlister Field House on Saturday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Mercer as the most likely winner of the Mercer vs. Citadel game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Mercer vs. Citadel prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Mercer and Citadel 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Mercer an 85% chance of defeating Citadel. Our predicted final score has Mercer winning 78-67.
According to our model, Citadel (+11.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 147.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Mercer vs. Citadel odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mercer | Citadel |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -11.5 (-115) | +11.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -800 | +570 |
| Total | o147.5 (-108) | u147.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mercer vs. Citadel picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Citadel +11.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Citadel | +570 |
| Total | Under 147.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Citadel +11.5 at the spread.
Mercer vs. Citadel game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Citadel and Mercer at McAlister Field House is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Mercer vs. Citadel
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: McAlister Field House
Conclusion
We predict Mercer, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat Citadel on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercer vs. Citadel insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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