Men's college basketball picks today: Wednesday's best bets include Portland vs. San Diego play [2/11/2026]

Portland +2.5 (-102)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Portland vs. San Diego (9:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model has identified value on Portland +2.5 at -102 odds. A 57.7% probability produces an edge of 7.2%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Mississippi State +7.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Tennessee vs. Mississippi State (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Mississippi State +7.5 carries a 6.1% edge and a probability of 57.3% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Virginia Tech vs. Clemson over 137.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Virginia Tech vs. Clemson (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Virginia Tech vs. Clemson over 137.5 points at -110 odds shows a 5.6% edge, supported by a 58% probability in simulations.

Loyola (MD) +3.5 (-115)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Loyola (MD) vs. Lafayette (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

A 4.9% edge and 58.4% probability make Loyola (MD) +3.5 vs. Lafayette at a value play in the Loyola (MD) vs. Lafayette matchup, per our model.

Santa Clara -12.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Seattle vs. Santa Clara (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Santa Clara -12.5 at -110 odds presents a 4.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.9%.

North Dakota +1.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: North Dakota vs. South Dakota (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model finds value on North Dakota +1.5 at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 4.5%.

Connecticut vs. Butler over 144.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Connecticut vs. Butler (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model has uncovered value on Connecticut vs. Butler over 144.5 points at -110 odds. A 56.9% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Providence +4.5 (-104)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Providence vs. Seton Hall (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)

A 4.5% edge on a 55.5% probability makes Providence +4.5 at -104 odds a solid value play in today's Providence vs. Seton Hall matchup.

Temple +1.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Temple vs. Tulane (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model projects value on Temple +1.5 at -102 odds. A 54.8% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making Temple the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Rice +3.5 (-108)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Connecticut vs. Butler (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Rice +3.5 at -108 odds shows a 55.8% probability and a 3.9% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Wednesday, 2/11/2026

As of 5:42PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Portland vs. San Diego	Portland +2.5	-102 @ BetMGM	7.2%	57.7%
Tennessee vs. Mississippi State	Mississippi State +7.5	-105 @ BetMGM	6.1%	57.3%
Virginia Tech vs. Clemson	Over 137.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	5.6%	58%
Loyola (MD) vs. Lafayette	Loyola (MD) +3.5	-115 @ BetMGM	4.9%	58.4%
Seattle vs. Santa Clara	Santa Clara -12.5	-110 @ BetMGM	4.6%	56.9%
North Dakota vs. South Dakota	North Dakota +1.5	-105 @ DraftKings	4.5%	55.8%
Connecticut vs. Butler	Over 144.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	4.5%	56.9%
Providence vs. Seton Hall	Providence +4.5	-104 @ FanDuel	4.5%	55.5%
Temple vs. Tulane	Temple +1.5	-102 @ FanDuel	4.3%	54.8%
Florida Atlantic vs. Rice	Rice +3.5	-108 @ FanDuel	3.9%	55.8%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Iowa vs. Maryland (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Boston University vs. Army (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Colgate vs. Holy Cross (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Citadel vs. Western Carolina (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• USC vs. Ohio State (6:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Virginia Commonwealth vs. La Salle (6:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Virginia Tech vs. Clemson (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Florida vs. Georgia (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Alabama vs. Ole Miss (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Chattanooga vs. East Tennessee State (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 11, 2026, featuring plays such as Portland +2.5 and Mississippi State +7.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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