Men's college basketball picks today: Wednesday's best bets include UCF vs. Kansas State play [1/14/2026]

Kansas State -2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Matchup: UCF vs. Kansas State (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model has identified value on Kansas State -2.5 at -105 odds. A 58.7% probability produces an edge of 7.5%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Rhode Island +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Virginia Commonwealth vs. Rhode Island (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Rhode Island +4.5 carries a 6.1% edge and a probability of 58.4% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Texas +5.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Vanderbilt vs. Texas (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Texas +5.5 vs. Vanderbilt at -110 odds shows a 5.7% edge, supported by a 58% probability in simulations.

Niagara +2.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Niagara vs. Canisius (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

A 5.1% edge and 55.6% probability make Niagara +2.5 vs. Canisius at a value play in the Niagara vs. Canisius matchup, per our model.

Washington +12.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Michigan vs. Washington (10:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Washington +12.5 at -105 odds presents a 4.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.9%.

Washington ML (+720)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 16.8%
• Matchup: Michigan vs. Washington (10:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model finds value on Washington to win at +720 odds, supported by an edge of 4.6%.

Kansas State ML (-142)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 63.2%
• Matchup: UCF vs. Kansas State (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model has uncovered value on Kansas State ML at -142 odds. A 63.2% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

East Tennessee State -6.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: East Tennessee State vs. Western Carolina (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)

A 4.5% edge on a 55% probability makes East Tennessee State -6.5 at -102 odds a solid value play in today's East Tennessee State vs. Western Carolina matchup.

Texas ML (+210)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 36.6%
• Matchup: Vanderbilt vs. Texas (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model projects value on Texas to win at +210 odds. A 36.6% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making Texas the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Oral Roberts +7.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: UCF vs. Kansas State (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Oral Roberts +7.5 at -102 odds shows a 54.8% probability and a 4.3% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Wednesday, 1/14/2026

As of 2:31AM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
UCF vs. Kansas State	Kansas State -2.5	-105 @ DraftKings	7.5%	58.7%
Virginia Commonwealth vs. Rhode Island	Rhode Island +4.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.1%	58.4%
Vanderbilt vs. Texas	Texas +5.5	-110 @ BetMGM	5.7%	58%
Niagara vs. Canisius	Niagara +2.5	-102 @ BetMGM	5.1%	55.6%
Michigan vs. Washington	Washington +12.5	-105 @ FanDuel	4.7%	55.9%
Michigan vs. Washington	Washington ML	+720 @ FanDuel	4.6%	16.8%
UCF vs. Kansas State	Kansas State ML	-142 @ DraftKings	4.5%	63.2%
East Tennessee State vs. Western Carolina	East Tennessee State -6.5	-102 @ FanDuel	4.5%	55%
Vanderbilt vs. Texas	Texas ML	+210 @ FanDuel	4.4%	36.6%
Oral Roberts vs. Denver	Oral Roberts +7.5	-102 @ DraftKings	4.3%	54.8%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Virginia Commonwealth vs. Rhode Island (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Chattanooga vs. Wofford (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• East Tennessee State vs. Western Carolina (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Lehigh vs. Boston University (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Butler vs. Xavier (6:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Iowa vs. Purdue (6:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• High Point vs. Winthrop (6:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Davidson vs. George Washington (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Tulsa vs. Charlotte (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Ole Miss vs. Georgia (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Meet Dimebot, Dimers’ AI assistant

See how you can use Dimebot to ask questions, clarify data, and streamline your betting research.

Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for January 14, 2026, featuring plays such as Kansas State -2.5 and Rhode Island +4.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.