Men's college basketball picks today: Tuesday's best bets highlight San Diego State vs. Nevada play [1/6/2026]

Nevada ML (-113)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: San Diego State vs. Nevada (11:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model has identified value on Nevada to defeat San Diego State at -113 odds. A 55.6% probability produces an edge of 2.6%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Illinois-Chicago +3.5 (-115)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 60.7%
• Matchup: Southern Illinois vs. Illinois-Chicago (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)

A 7.2% edge and 60.7% probability make Illinois-Chicago +3.5 vs. Southern Illinois at a value play in the Southern Illinois vs. Illinois-Chicago matchup, per our model.

North Texas +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: South Florida vs. North Texas (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)

North Texas +4.5 at -110 odds presents a 6.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.4%.

Longwood +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Longwood vs. UNC Asheville (6:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model finds value on Longwood +4.5 at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 6.1%.

Holy Cross +3.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Holy Cross vs. Lehigh (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model has uncovered value on Holy Cross +3.5 at -110 odds. A 58.4% probability produces a 6.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Rhode Island -10.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Matchup: La Salle vs. Rhode Island (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

A 5.9% edge on a 56.4% probability makes Rhode Island -10.5 at -102 odds a solid value play in today's La Salle vs. Rhode Island matchup.

Loyola Chicago ML (+116)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Matchup: Davidson vs. Loyola Chicago (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model projects value on Loyola Chicago to win at +116 odds. A 51.1% probability produces a 4.8% edge, making Loyola Chicago the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Kentucky -12.5 (-115)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 58.1%
• Matchup: Holy Cross vs. Lehigh (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Kentucky -12.5 at -115 odds shows a 58.1% probability and a 4.6% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Tuesday, 1/6/2026

As of 9:37PM ET, here is our top men's college basketball bet by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
San Diego State vs. Nevada	Nevada ML	-113 @ FanDuel	2.6%	55.6%
Southern Illinois vs. Illinois-Chicago	Illinois-Chicago +3.5	-115 @ DraftKings	7.2%	60.7%
South Florida vs. North Texas	North Texas +4.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.1%	58.4%
Longwood vs. UNC Asheville	Longwood +4.5	-110 @ FanDuel	6.1%	58.4%
Holy Cross vs. Lehigh	Holy Cross +3.5	-110 @ DraftKings	6.0%	58.4%
La Salle vs. Rhode Island	Rhode Island -10.5	-102 @ DraftKings	5.9%	56.4%
Davidson vs. Loyola Chicago	Loyola Chicago ML	+116 @ FanDuel	4.8%	51.1%
Missouri vs. Kentucky	Kentucky -12.5	-115 @ DraftKings	4.6%	58.1%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• UNLV vs. Wyoming (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Fresno State vs. San Jose State (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• San Diego State vs. Nevada (11:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Furman vs. Chattanooga (5:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• UNC Greensboro vs. Wofford (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Holy Cross vs. Lehigh (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Loyola (MD) vs. Army (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Indiana vs. Maryland (6:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Charleston Southern vs. Winthrop (6:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Longwood vs. UNC Asheville (6:30PM ET, Wednesday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for January 6, 2026, featuring plays such as Nevada ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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