Men's college basketball picks today: Thursday's best bets include Tennessee Tech vs. Morehead State play [2/12/2026]

Tennessee Tech +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Tennessee Tech vs. Morehead State (7:30PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on Tennessee Tech +4.5 at -110 odds. A 58.4% probability produces an edge of 6.1%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Northern Iowa +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Northern Iowa vs. Belmont (9:00PM ET, Thursday)

Northern Iowa +4.5 carries a 6.1% edge and a probability of 58.4% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Marist +2.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Marist vs. Merrimack (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

Marist +2.5 vs. Merrimack at -110 odds shows a 5.3% edge, supported by a 57.7% probability in simulations.

Cleveland State +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Robert Morris vs. Cleveland State (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

A 5.3% edge and 55.8% probability make Cleveland State +3.5 vs. Robert Morris at a value play in the Robert Morris vs. Cleveland State matchup, per our model.

Bryant University +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Bryant University vs. Massachusetts-Lowell (6:00PM ET, Thursday)

Bryant University +3.5 at -102 odds presents a 5.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.8%.

William & Mary vs. Northeastern under 168.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Matchup: William & Mary vs. Northeastern (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model finds value on under 168.5 points in William & Mary vs. Northeastern at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 5.0%.

Cal State Fullerton ML (+108)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 52.7%
• Matchup: Cal State Fullerton vs. Long Beach State (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has uncovered value on Cal State Fullerton ML at +108 odds. A 52.7% probability produces a 4.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Presbyterian vs. Charleston Southern over 146.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Matchup: Presbyterian vs. Charleston Southern (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

A 4.5% edge on a 55.7% probability makes over 146.5 points at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Presbyterian vs. Charleston Southern matchup.

Northern Colorado -10.5 (+100)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Matchup: Sacramento State vs. Northern Colorado (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model projects value on Northern Colorado -10.5 at +100 odds. A 54.3% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making Northern Colorado the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

USC Upstate ML (+980)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 13.6%
• Matchup: Cal State Fullerton vs. Long Beach State (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, USC Upstate to defeat High Point at +980 odds shows a 13.6% probability and a 4.3% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Thursday, 2/12/2026

As of 5:03PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Tennessee Tech vs. Morehead State	Tennessee Tech +4.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.1%	58.4%
Northern Iowa vs. Belmont	Northern Iowa +4.5	-110 @ FanDuel	6.1%	58.4%
Marist vs. Merrimack	Marist +2.5	-110 @ BetMGM	5.3%	57.7%
Robert Morris vs. Cleveland State	Cleveland State +3.5	-102 @ DraftKings	5.3%	55.8%
Bryant University vs. Massachusetts-Lowell	Bryant University +3.5	-102 @ BetMGM	5.3%	55.8%
William & Mary vs. Northeastern	Under 168.5 Points	-110 @ FanDuel	5.0%	57.4%
Cal State Fullerton vs. Long Beach State	Cal State Fullerton ML	+108 @ FanDuel	4.6%	52.7%
Presbyterian vs. Charleston Southern	Over 146.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	4.5%	55.7%
Sacramento State vs. Northern Colorado	Northern Colorado -10.5	+100 @ DraftKings	4.3%	54.3%
High Point vs. USC Upstate	USC Upstate ML	+980 @ FanDuel	4.3%	13.6%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• UMBC vs. Maine (6:00PM ET, Thursday)
• N.J.I.T. vs. New Hampshire (6:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Bryant University vs. Massachusetts-Lowell (6:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Middle Tennessee vs. Kennesaw State (6:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Vermont vs. Binghamton (6:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Delaware vs. Florida International (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Detroit Mercy vs. Wright State (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Georgia State vs. James Madison (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Youngstown State vs. Oakland (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• William & Mary vs. Northeastern (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 12, 2026, featuring plays such as Tennessee Tech +4.5 and Northern Iowa +4.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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