Men's college basketball picks today: Thursday's best bets include Cal State Northridge vs. UC San Diego play [1/15/2026]

Today’s men's college basketball picks for January 15, 2026 are here, with Cal State Northridge vs. UC San Diego and Toledo vs. Kent State among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s men's college basketball slate.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest men's college basketball odds to find legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NCAAM picks tonight [1/15, updated 9:31PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 men's college basketball bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, January 15, 2026.

UC San Diego -7.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Cal State Northridge vs. UC San Diego (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on UC San Diego -7.5 at -105 odds. A 57.3% probability produces an edge of 6.0%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Toledo vs. Kent State under 170.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Toledo vs. Kent State (6:30PM ET, Friday)

Toledo vs. Kent State under 170.5 points carries a 5.1% edge and a probability of 56.3% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Northern Arizona vs. Sacramento State over 154.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Northern Arizona vs. Sacramento State (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Northern Arizona vs. Sacramento State over 154.5 points at -105 odds shows a 4.3% edge, supported by a 55.5% probability in simulations.

Creighton vs. Providence under 162.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Matchup: Creighton vs. Providence (6:30PM ET, Friday)

A 3.7% edge and 54.9% probability make Creighton vs. Providence under 162.5 points at a value play in the Creighton vs. Providence matchup, per our model.

Hawaii -6.5 (-108)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Hawaii vs. Cal Poly (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Hawaii -6.5 at -108 odds presents a 3.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55%.

Toledo +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Toledo vs. Kent State (6:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on Toledo +4.5 at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 3.1%.

Kansas -6.5 (-120)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Baylor vs. Kansas (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model has uncovered value on Kansas -6.5 at -120 odds. A 57.3% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Washington State +16.5 (-105)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 53.8%
• Matchup: Gonzaga vs. Washington State (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

A 2.6% edge on a 53.8% probability makes Washington State +16.5 at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Gonzaga vs. Washington State matchup.

Ball State +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Matchup: Ohio vs. Ball State (8:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model projects value on Ball State +3.5 at -102 odds. A 52.8% probability produces a 2.3% edge, making Ball State the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Washington State ML (+1280)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 9.5%
• Matchup: Baylor vs. Kansas (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Washington State to defeat Gonzaga at +1280 odds shows a 9.5% probability and a 2.2% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Thursday, 1/15/2026

As of 9:31PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Cal State Northridge vs. UC San Diego	UC San Diego -7.5	-105 @ FanDuel	6.0%	57.3%
Toledo vs. Kent State	Under 170.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	5.1%	56.3%
Northern Arizona vs. Sacramento State	Over 154.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	4.3%	55.5%
Creighton vs. Providence	Under 162.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	3.7%	54.9%
Hawaii vs. Cal Poly	Hawaii -6.5	-108 @ DraftKings	3.1%	55%
Toledo vs. Kent State	Toledo +4.5	-110 @ FanDuel	3.1%	55.5%
Baylor vs. Kansas	Kansas -6.5	-120 @ FanDuel	2.7%	57.3%
Gonzaga vs. Washington State	Washington State +16.5	-105 @ DraftKings	2.6%	53.8%
Ohio vs. Ball State	Ball State +3.5	-102 @ DraftKings	2.3%	52.8%
Gonzaga vs. Washington State	Washington State ML	+1280 @ FanDuel	2.2%	9.5%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Northern Colorado vs. Portland State (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Northern Arizona vs. Sacramento State (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• UC Riverside vs. Long Beach State (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Gonzaga vs. Washington State (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• San Diego vs. Seattle (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Hawaii vs. Cal Poly (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Cal State Northridge vs. UC San Diego (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Creighton vs. Providence (6:30PM ET, Friday)
• Toledo vs. Kent State (6:30PM ET, Friday)
• Baylor vs. Kansas (8:00PM ET, Friday)

What Is Dimebot?

Dimebot is Dimers’ AI bet assistant, designed to surface swift insights, answer betting questions, and help you explore data more efficiently.

Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for January 15, 2026, featuring plays such as UC San Diego -7.5 and under 170.5 points in the Toledo vs. Kent State matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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