Men's college basketball picks today: Sunday's best bets include TCU vs. North Texas play [12/7/2025]

North Texas +8.5 (-110)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 59.8%
• Matchup: TCU vs. North Texas (5:30PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on North Texas +8.5 at -110 odds. A 59.8% probability produces an edge of 7.4%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Tennessee-Martin ML (-250)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 77.4%
• Matchup: Alabama State vs. Tennessee-Martin (3:00PM ET, Sunday)

Tennessee-Martin ML carries a 6.0% edge and a probability of 77.4% at -250 odds, according to our model.

Davidson +9.5 (-105)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 57%
• Matchup: Saint Mary's vs. Davidson (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Davidson +9.5 vs. Saint Mary's at -105 odds shows a 5.8% edge, supported by a 57% probability in simulations.

Tennessee-Martin -6.5 (-108)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Alabama State vs. Tennessee-Martin (3:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 5.4% edge and 57.3% probability make Tennessee-Martin -6.5 vs. Alabama State at a value play in the Alabama State vs. Tennessee-Martin matchup, per our model.

St. Peter's -4.5 (-112)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Matchup: Niagara vs. St. Peter's (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

St. Peter's -4.5 at -112 odds presents a 5.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.9%.

UTSA +33.5 (-104)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: UTSA vs. Alabama (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on UTSA +33.5 at -104 odds, supported by an edge of 5.0%.

Wright State ML (-250)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 75.9%
• Matchup: Green Bay vs. Wright State (5:00PM ET, Sunday) Our model has uncovered value on Wright State ML at -250 odds. A 75.9% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

LSU +5.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: LSU vs. Texas Tech (3:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 4.5% edge on a 55% probability makes LSU +5.5 at -102 odds a solid value play in today's LSU vs. Texas Tech matchup.

Fairfield +2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Fairfield vs. Merrimack (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model projects value on Fairfield +2.5 at -105 odds. A 55.6% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making Fairfield the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Hofstra +8.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Hofstra vs. Pittsburgh (4:00PM ET, Sunday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Hofstra +8.5 at -102 odds shows a 54.8% probability and a 4.3% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Sunday, 12/7/2025

As of 8:02AM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
TCU vs. North Texas	North Texas +8.5	-110 @ BetMGM	7.4%	59.8%
Alabama State vs. Tennessee-Martin	Tennessee-Martin ML	-250 @ BetMGM	6.0%	77.4%
Saint Mary's vs. Davidson	Davidson +9.5	-105 @ DraftKings	5.8%	57%
Alabama State vs. Tennessee-Martin	Tennessee-Martin -6.5	-108 @ DraftKings	5.4%	57.3%
Niagara vs. St. Peter's	St. Peter's -4.5	-112 @ DraftKings	5.1%	57.9%
UTSA vs. Alabama	UTSA +33.5	-104 @ FanDuel	5.0%	56%
Green Bay vs. Wright State	Wright State ML	-250 @ DraftKings	4.5%	75.9%
LSU vs. Texas Tech	LSU +5.5	-102 @ DraftKings	4.5%	55%
Fairfield vs. Merrimack	Fairfield +2.5	-105 @ BetMGM	4.4%	55.6%
Hofstra vs. Pittsburgh	Hofstra +8.5	-102 @ FanDuel	4.3%	54.8%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Air Force vs. Navy (12:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Missouri vs. Kansas (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Southern Indiana vs. Indiana State (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Fairfield vs. Merrimack (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Central Connecticut State vs. Northeastern (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Utah State vs. Charlotte (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Iona vs. Sacred Heart (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Saint Mary's vs. Davidson (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Rider vs. Quinnipiac (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Manhattan vs. Marist (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for December 7, 2025, featuring plays such as North Texas +8.5 and Tennessee-Martin ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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