Men's college basketball picks today: Sunday's best bets include Florida vs. Miami (FL) play [11/16/2025]

Today’s men's college basketball picks for November 16, 2025 are here, with Florida vs. Miami (FL) among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s men's college basketball slate.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest men's college basketball odds to unearth genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NCAAM picks tonight [11/16, updated 7:31PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 men's college basketball bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, November 16, 2025.

Florida vs. Miami (FL) under 171.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Florida vs. Miami (FL) (8:30PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on under 171.5 points in Florida vs. Miami (FL) at -105 odds. A 56.9% probability produces an edge of 5.7%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Miami (FL) +10.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Florida vs. Miami (FL) (8:30PM ET, Sunday)

Miami (FL) +10.5 carries a 4.5% edge and a probability of 56.8% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Miami (FL) ML (+450)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 22.6%
• Matchup: Florida vs. Miami (FL) (8:30PM ET, Sunday)

Miami (FL) ML at +450 odds shows a 4.4% edge, supported by a 22.6% probability in simulations.

North Carolina State -12.5 (-108)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: Virginia Commonwealth vs. North Carolina State (7:00PM ET, Monday)

A 5.7% edge and 57.6% probability make North Carolina State -12.5 vs. Virginia Commonwealth at a value play in the Virginia Commonwealth vs. North Carolina State matchup, per our model.

Virginia Commonwealth vs. North Carolina State under 165.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 56.6%
• Matchup: Virginia Commonwealth vs. North Carolina State (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Virginia Commonwealth vs. North Carolina State under 165.5 points at -108 odds presents a 4.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.6%.

Miami (FL) +10.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Florida vs. Miami (FL) (8:30PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on Miami (FL) +10.5 at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 4.5%.

Miami (FL) ML (+450)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 22.6%
• Matchup: Florida vs. Miami (FL) (8:30PM ET, Sunday) Our model has uncovered value on Miami (FL) ML at +450 odds. A 22.6% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Pennsylvania +5.5 (-110)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Matchup: Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Pennsylvania (7:00PM ET, Monday)

A 2.8% edge on a 55.2% probability makes Pennsylvania +5.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Pennsylvania matchup.

Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Pennsylvania under 160.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Pennsylvania (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model projects value on under 160.5 points at -110 odds. A 55% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making the under the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Cal State Northridge +4.5 (-112)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Troy vs. Cal State Northridge (8:00PM ET, Sunday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Cal State Northridge +4.5 at -112 odds shows a 55.5% probability and a 2.7% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Sunday, 11/16/2025

As of 7:31PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Florida vs. Miami (FL)	Under 171.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	5.7%	56.9%
Florida vs. Miami (FL)	Miami (FL) +10.5	-110 @ BetMGM	4.5%	56.8%
Florida vs. Miami (FL)	Miami (FL) ML	+450 @ FanDuel	4.4%	22.6%
Virginia Commonwealth vs. North Carolina State	North Carolina State -12.5	-108 @ DraftKings	5.7%	57.6%
Virginia Commonwealth vs. North Carolina State	Under 165.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	4.7%	56.6%
Florida vs. Miami (FL)	Miami (FL) +10.5	-110 @ BetMGM	4.5%	56.8%
Florida vs. Miami (FL)	Miami (FL) ML	+450 @ FanDuel	4.4%	22.6%
Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Pennsylvania	Pennsylvania +5.5	-110 @ FanDuel	2.8%	55.2%
Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Pennsylvania	Under 160.5 Points	-110 @ FanDuel	2.7%	55%
Troy vs. Cal State Northridge	Cal State Northridge +4.5	-112 @ DraftKings	2.7%	55.5%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Troy vs. Cal State Northridge (8:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Florida vs. Miami (FL) (8:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Florida A&M vs. Georgia (6:30PM ET, Monday)
• Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Pennsylvania (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Lafayette vs. West Virginia (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Virginia Commonwealth vs. North Carolina State (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Oakland vs. UCF (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Drake vs. Charleston (7:00PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for November 16, 2025, featuring plays such as under 171.5 points in the Florida vs. Miami (FL) matchup and Miami (FL) +10.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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