Men's college basketball picks today: Sunday's best bets include Indiana vs. Illinois play [2/15/2026]

Illinois -8.5 (-105)

• Edge: 12.4%
• Probability: 63.6%
• Matchup: Indiana vs. Illinois (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on Illinois -8.5 at -105 odds. A 63.6% probability produces an edge of 12.4%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Florida Atlantic +4.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Florida Atlantic +4.5 carries a 7.2% edge and a probability of 58.4% at -105 odds, according to our model.

St. Peter's ML (-198)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 73.3%
• Matchup: Fairfield vs. St. Peter's (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

St. Peter's ML at -198 odds shows a 6.8% edge, supported by a 73.3% probability in simulations.

St. Peter's -4.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Fairfield vs. St. Peter's (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 6.8% edge and 58% probability make St. Peter's -4.5 vs. Fairfield at a value play in the Fairfield vs. St. Peter's matchup, per our model.

Holy Cross +5.5 (-118)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 60.7%
• Matchup: Holy Cross vs. Loyola (MD) (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Holy Cross +5.5 at -118 odds presents a 6.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 60.7%.

Illinois ML (-400)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 85.6%
• Matchup: Indiana vs. Illinois (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on Illinois to win at -400 odds, supported by an edge of 5.6%.

Florida Atlantic ML (+184)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 40.5%
• Matchup: South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has uncovered value on Florida Atlantic ML at +184 odds. A 40.5% probability produces a 5.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Illinois-Chicago +1.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Matchup: Illinois State vs. Illinois-Chicago (3:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 5.0% edge on a 57.4% probability makes Illinois-Chicago +1.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Illinois State vs. Illinois-Chicago matchup.

Seton Hall vs. Butler over 139.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Matchup: Seton Hall vs. Butler (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model projects value on over 139.5 points at -110 odds. A 57.4% probability produces a 5.0% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Temple -2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Temple -2.5 at -105 odds shows a 55.6% probability and a 4.4% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Sunday, 2/15/2026

As of 12:01PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Indiana vs. Illinois	Illinois -8.5	-105 @ DraftKings	12.4%	63.6%
South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic +4.5	-105 @ BetMGM	7.2%	58.4%
Fairfield vs. St. Peter's	St. Peter's ML	-198 @ DraftKings	6.8%	73.3%
Fairfield vs. St. Peter's	St. Peter's -4.5	-105 @ DraftKings	6.8%	58%
Holy Cross vs. Loyola (MD)	Holy Cross +5.5	-118 @ BetMGM	6.6%	60.7%
Indiana vs. Illinois	Illinois ML	-400 @ BetMGM	5.6%	85.6%
South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic ML	+184 @ FanDuel	5.3%	40.5%
Illinois State vs. Illinois-Chicago	Illinois-Chicago +1.5	-110 @ BetMGM	5.0%	57.4%
Seton Hall vs. Butler	Over 139.5 Points	-110 @ DraftKings	5.0%	57.4%
North Texas vs. Temple	Temple -2.5	-105 @ BetMGM	4.4%	55.6%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Manhattan vs. Canisius (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Denver vs. Nebraska-Omaha (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Indiana vs. Illinois (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Holy Cross vs. Loyola (MD) (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Oakland vs. Robert Morris (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Siena vs. Marist (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• North Texas vs. Temple (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Tulane vs. UAB (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 15, 2026, featuring plays such as Illinois -8.5 and Florida Atlantic +4.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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