Men's college basketball picks today: Sunday's best bets include North Texas vs. Wichita State play [1/11/2026]

North Texas vs. Wichita State over 131.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 59.2%
• Matchup: North Texas vs. Wichita State (3:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on over 131.5 points in North Texas vs. Wichita State at -105 odds. A 59.2% probability produces an edge of 7.9%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Detroit Mercy -6.5 (-115)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 59.5%
• Matchup: Cleveland State vs. Detroit Mercy (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Detroit Mercy -6.5 carries a 6.1% edge and a probability of 59.5% at -115 odds, according to our model.

Wright State +4.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Wright State vs. Oakland (3:00PM ET, Sunday)

Wright State +4.5 vs. Oakland at -105 odds shows a 4.3% edge, supported by a 55.5% probability in simulations.

Illinois vs. Iowa over 143.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Illinois vs. Iowa (12:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 4.0% edge and 56% probability make Illinois vs. Iowa over 143.5 points at a value play in the Illinois vs. Iowa matchup, per our model.

Washington ML (-130)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 59%
• Matchup: Ohio State vs. Washington (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

Washington ML at -130 odds presents a 3.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 59%.

Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Robert Morris under 144.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Matchup: Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Robert Morris (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on under 144.5 points in Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Robert Morris at -108 odds, supported by an edge of 3.2%.

North Texas +6.5 (-108)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: North Texas vs. Wichita State (3:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has uncovered value on North Texas +6.5 at -108 odds. A 55% probability produces a 3.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Rutgers +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Northwestern vs. Rutgers (5:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 3.1% edge on a 55.5% probability makes Rutgers +4.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Northwestern vs. Rutgers matchup.

Robert Morris ML (-190)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 66.9%
• Matchup: Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Robert Morris (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model projects value on Robert Morris to win at -190 odds. A 66.9% probability produces a 2.5% edge, making Robert Morris the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Green Bay +3.5 (-115)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: North Texas vs. Wichita State (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Green Bay +3.5 at -115 odds shows a 55.9% probability and a 2.4% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Sunday, 1/11/2026

As of 9:32AM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
North Texas vs. Wichita State	Over 131.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	7.9%	59.2%
Cleveland State vs. Detroit Mercy	Detroit Mercy -6.5	-115 @ DraftKings	6.1%	59.5%
Wright State vs. Oakland	Wright State +4.5	-105 @ DraftKings	4.3%	55.5%
Illinois vs. Iowa	Over 143.5 Points	-108 @ FanDuel	4.0%	56%
Ohio State vs. Washington	Washington ML	-130 @ DraftKings	3.6%	59%
Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Robert Morris	Under 144.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	3.2%	55.1%
North Texas vs. Wichita State	North Texas +6.5	-108 @ DraftKings	3.1%	55%
Northwestern vs. Rutgers	Rutgers +4.5	-110 @ DraftKings	3.1%	55.5%
Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Robert Morris	Robert Morris ML	-190 @ BetMGM	2.5%	66.9%
Northern Kentucky vs. Green Bay	Green Bay +3.5	-115 @ DraftKings	2.4%	55.9%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Illinois vs. Iowa (12:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Saint Joseph's (PA) vs. Richmond (12:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Cleveland State vs. Detroit Mercy (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Canisius vs. Iona (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Northern Kentucky vs. Green Bay (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Robert Morris (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• UAB vs. East Carolina (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Charlotte vs. Rice (2:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Niagara vs. Manhattan (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for January 11, 2026, featuring plays such as over 131.5 points in the North Texas vs. Wichita State matchup and Detroit Mercy -6.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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