Men's college basketball picks today: Saturday's best bets include South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic play [2/14/2026]

Today’s men's college basketball picks for February 14, 2026 are here, with South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s men's college basketball action.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest men's college basketball odds to discover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NCAAM picks tonight [2/14, updated 10:05PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 men's college basketball bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, February 14, 2026.

Florida Atlantic +4.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on Florida Atlantic +4.5 at -105 odds. A 58.4% probability produces an edge of 7.2%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Florida Atlantic ML (+190)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 40.6%
• Matchup: South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Florida Atlantic ML carries a 6.1% edge and a probability of 40.6% at +190 odds, according to our model.

Santa Clara +5.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Gonzaga vs. Santa Clara (10:30PM ET, Saturday)

Santa Clara +5.5 vs. Gonzaga at -110 odds shows a 5.7% edge, supported by a 58% probability in simulations.

Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac over 140.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 5.1% edge and 56.3% probability make Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac over 140.5 points at a value play in the Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac matchup, per our model.

Saint Mary's vs. Pacific over 135.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Saint Mary's vs. Pacific (10:30PM ET, Saturday)

Saint Mary's vs. Pacific over 135.5 points at -105 odds presents a 4.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56%.

Illinois -10.5 (-114)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Indiana vs. Illinois (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on Illinois -10.5 at -114 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

Indiana State +5.5 (-115)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Indiana State vs. Valparaiso (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has uncovered value on Indiana State +5.5 at -115 odds. A 58% probability produces a 4.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Denver +2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Denver vs. Nebraska-Omaha (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 4.4% edge on a 55.6% probability makes Denver +2.5 at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Denver vs. Nebraska-Omaha matchup.

Sacred Heart -9.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Matchup: Rider vs. Sacred Heart (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model projects value on Sacred Heart -9.5 at -102 odds. A 54.7% probability produces a 4.2% edge, making Sacred Heart the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Temple ML (-138)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Matchup: Indiana State vs. Valparaiso (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Temple to defeat North Texas at -138 odds shows a 62.1% probability and a 4.1% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Saturday, 2/14/2026

As of 10:05PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic +4.5	-105 @ DraftKings	7.2%	58.4%
South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic ML	+190 @ FanDuel	6.1%	40.6%
Gonzaga vs. Santa Clara	Santa Clara +5.5	-110 @ BetMGM	5.7%	58%
Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac	Over 140.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	5.1%	56.3%
Saint Mary's vs. Pacific	Over 135.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	4.8%	56%
Indiana vs. Illinois	Illinois -10.5	-114 @ FanDuel	4.7%	58%
Indiana State vs. Valparaiso	Indiana State +5.5	-115 @ BetMGM	4.6%	58%
Denver vs. Nebraska-Omaha	Denver +2.5	-105 @ BetMGM	4.4%	55.6%
Rider vs. Sacred Heart	Sacred Heart -9.5	-102 @ DraftKings	4.2%	54.7%
North Texas vs. Temple	Temple ML	-138 @ FanDuel	4.1%	62.1%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Gonzaga vs. Santa Clara (10:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Saint Mary's vs. Pacific (10:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Utah vs. Cincinnati (12:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Maryland vs. Rutgers (12:00PM ET, Sunday)
• UTSA vs. Charlotte (12:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Manhattan vs. Canisius (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Denver vs. Nebraska-Omaha (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Indiana vs. Illinois (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Holy Cross vs. Loyola (MD) (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

AI betting support with Dimebot

Learn how Dimebot uses Dimers’ data to deliver quick answers and insights, helping you make faster, more informed decisions.

Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 14, 2026, featuring plays such as Florida Atlantic +4.5 and Florida Atlantic ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.