Men's college basketball picks today: Saturday's best bets include Montana State vs. Montana play [2/14/2026]

Montana State vs. Montana over 144.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Matchup: Montana State vs. Montana (9:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on over 144.5 points in Montana State vs. Montana at -105 odds. A 57.8% probability produces an edge of 6.6%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Santa Clara +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Gonzaga vs. Santa Clara (10:30PM ET, Saturday)

Santa Clara +4.5 carries a 6.1% edge and a probability of 58.4% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Minnesota vs. Washington over 138.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Minnesota vs. Washington (9:00PM ET, Saturday)

Minnesota vs. Washington over 138.5 points at -105 odds shows a 6.0% edge, supported by a 57.2% probability in simulations.

Arizona -9.5 (-104)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Texas Tech vs. Arizona (6:30PM ET, Saturday)

A 5.9% edge and 56.8% probability make Arizona -9.5 vs. Texas Tech at a value play in the Texas Tech vs. Arizona matchup, per our model.

UC Riverside vs. UC San Diego over 144.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: UC Riverside vs. UC San Diego (10:00PM ET, Saturday)

UC Riverside vs. UC San Diego over 144.5 points at -105 odds presents a 5.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.9%.

Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac over 139.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac (2:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on over 139.5 points in Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 5.1%.

Mississippi State +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss (6:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has uncovered value on Mississippi State +3.5 at -102 odds. A 55.5% probability produces a 5.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Brown vs. Dartmouth over 139.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Matchup: Brown vs. Dartmouth (6:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 5.0% edge on a 56.2% probability makes over 139.5 points at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Brown vs. Dartmouth matchup.

Saint Mary's vs. Pacific over 135.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Saint Mary's vs. Pacific (10:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model projects value on over 135.5 points at -105 odds. A 56% probability produces a 4.8% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Southern Miss +3.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss (8:30PM ET, Saturday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Southern Miss +3.5 at -105 odds shows a 55.8% probability and a 4.6% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Saturday, 2/14/2026

As of 5:33PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Montana State vs. Montana	Over 144.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	6.6%	57.8%
Gonzaga vs. Santa Clara	Santa Clara +4.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.1%	58.4%
Minnesota vs. Washington	Over 138.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	6.0%	57.2%
Texas Tech vs. Arizona	Arizona -9.5	-104 @ FanDuel	5.9%	56.8%
UC Riverside vs. UC San Diego	Over 144.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	5.7%	56.9%
Merrimack vs. Quinnipiac	Over 139.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	5.1%	56.3%
Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss	Mississippi State +3.5	-102 @ FanDuel	5.0%	55.5%
Brown vs. Dartmouth	Over 139.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	5.0%	56.2%
Saint Mary's vs. Pacific	Over 135.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	4.8%	56%
Troy vs. Southern Miss	Southern Miss +3.5	-105 @ FanDuel	4.6%	55.8%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• LSU vs. Tennessee (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• West Virginia vs. UCF (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Virginia Commonwealth vs. Richmond (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Cornell vs. Pennsylvania (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Brown vs. Dartmouth (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Columbia vs. Princeton (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Texas Tech vs. Arizona (6:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss (6:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Yale vs. Harvard (6:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Tulsa vs. Wichita State (7:00PM ET, Saturday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 14, 2026, featuring plays such as over 144.5 points in the Montana State vs. Montana matchup and Santa Clara +4.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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