Men's college basketball picks today: Presidents' Day best bets include Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan play [2/16/2026]

Today’s men's college basketball picks for Presidents' Day are here, with Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan and Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s men's college basketball schedule.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest men's college basketball odds to unearth genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NCAAM picks tonight [2/16, updated 7:33PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 men's college basketball bets, ranked by edge for Monday, February 16, 2026.

Central Michigan +4.5 (-102)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan (6:30PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model has identified value on Central Michigan +4.5 at -102 odds. A 58.4% probability produces an edge of 8.0%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Texas A&M-CC +5.5 (-118)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 61%
• Matchup: Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Texas A&M-CC +5.5 carries a 6.9% edge and a probability of 61% at -118 odds, according to our model.

Louisville -4.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Louisville vs. SMU (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Louisville -4.5 vs. SMU at -102 odds shows a 5.3% edge, supported by a 55.8% probability in simulations.

Western Michigan ML (+810)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 15.3%
• Matchup: Akron vs. Western Michigan (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)

A 4.3% edge and 15.3% probability make Western Michigan at the moneyline at a value play in the Akron vs. Western Michigan matchup, per our model.

Central Michigan ML (+195)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 37.7%
• Matchup: Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan (6:30PM ET, Tuesday)

Central Michigan ML at +195 odds presents a 3.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 37.7%.

Texas A&M-CC ML (+205)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 36.6%
• Matchup: Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on Texas A&M-CC to win at +205 odds, supported by an edge of 3.8%.

Houston vs. Iowa State over 135.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 56.1%
• Matchup: Houston vs. Iowa State (9:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has uncovered value on Houston vs. Iowa State over 135.5 points at -110 odds. A 56.1% probability produces a 3.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Louisville vs. SMU under 167.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Matchup: Louisville vs. SMU (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)

A 3.5% edge on a 54.7% probability makes under 167.5 points at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Louisville vs. SMU matchup.

Iowa State ML (-146)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 62.7%
• Matchup: Houston vs. Iowa State (9:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model projects value on Iowa State to win at -146 odds. A 62.7% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making Iowa State the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Ball State vs. Ohio over 143.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Matchup: Houston vs. Iowa State (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Ball State vs. Ohio over 143.5 points at -108 odds shows a 55.1% probability and a 3.2% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Monday, 2/16/2026

As of 7:33PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan	Central Michigan +4.5	-102 @ BetMGM	8.0%	58.4%
Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC	Texas A&M-CC +5.5	-118 @ DraftKings	6.9%	61%
Louisville vs. SMU	Louisville -4.5	-102 @ DraftKings	5.3%	55.8%
Akron vs. Western Michigan	Western Michigan ML	+810 @ FanDuel	4.3%	15.3%
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan	Central Michigan ML	+195 @ FanDuel	3.8%	37.7%
Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC	Texas A&M-CC ML	+205 @ DraftKings	3.8%	36.6%
Houston vs. Iowa State	Over 135.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	3.7%	56.1%
Louisville vs. SMU	Under 167.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	3.5%	54.7%
Houston vs. Iowa State	Iowa State ML	-146 @ FanDuel	3.4%	62.7%
Ball State vs. Ohio	Over 143.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	3.2%	55.1%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Drexel vs. Stony Brook (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alabama A&M (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Florida A&M vs. Alcorn State (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Southern University vs. Texas Southern (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Houston vs. Iowa State (9:00PM ET, Monday)
• Gardner-Webb vs. Charleston Southern (6:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Boston College vs. Florida State (6:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Michigan vs. Purdue (6:30PM ET, Tuesday)
• Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan (6:30PM ET, Tuesday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Central Michigan +4.5 and Texas A&M-CC +5.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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