Men's college basketball picks today: Monday's best bets include Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State play [2/9/2026]

Alcorn State ML (-245)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 73.9%
• Matchup: Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on Alcorn State to defeat Mississippi Valley State at -245 odds. A 73.9% probability produces an edge of 9.0%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Prairie View A&M +3.5 (-110)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Matchup: Prairie View A&M vs. Florida A&M (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Prairie View A&M +3.5 carries an 8.2% edge and a probability of 60.5% at -110 odds, according to our model.

New Orleans ML (+105)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 49.6%
• Matchup: Texas A&M-CC vs. New Orleans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

New Orleans ML at +105 odds shows a 7.7% edge, supported by a 49.6% probability in simulations.

Alcorn State -5.5 (-110)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 59.8%
• Matchup: Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State (8:00PM ET, Monday)

A 7.4% edge and 59.8% probability make Alcorn State -5.5 vs. Mississippi Valley State at a value play in the Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State matchup, per our model.

Louisville -7.5 (+100)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: North Carolina State vs. Louisville (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Louisville -7.5 at +100 odds presents a 7.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.3%.

Southern University -6.5 (-115)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 59.5%
• Matchup: Alabama State vs. Southern University (9:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on Southern University -6.5 at -115 odds, supported by an edge of 6.1%.

New Orleans +1.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Texas A&M-CC vs. New Orleans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has uncovered value on New Orleans +1.5 at -110 odds. A 58.4% probability produces a 6.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Southern Illinois ML (-118)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 59.5%
• Matchup: Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State (7:00PM ET, Monday)

A 5.3% edge on a 59.5% probability makes Southern Illinois to win at -118 odds a solid value play in today's Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State matchup.

Kansas +2.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Arizona vs. Kansas (9:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model projects value on Kansas +2.5 at -102 odds. A 55.6% probability produces a 5.1% edge, making Kansas the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Lamar -7.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Texas A&M-CC vs. New Orleans (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Lamar -7.5 at -110 odds shows a 57.3% probability and a 4.9% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Monday, 2/9/2026

As of 5:45PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State	Alcorn State ML	-245 @ DraftKings	9.0%	73.9%
Prairie View A&M vs. Florida A&M	Prairie View A&M +3.5	-110 @ BetMGM	8.2%	60.5%
Texas A&M-CC vs. New Orleans	New Orleans ML	+105 @ BetMGM	7.7%	49.6%
Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State	Alcorn State -5.5	-110 @ BetMGM	7.4%	59.8%
North Carolina State vs. Louisville	Louisville -7.5	+100 @ FanDuel	7.3%	57.3%
Alabama State vs. Southern University	Southern University -6.5	-115 @ FanDuel	6.1%	59.5%
Texas A&M-CC vs. New Orleans	New Orleans +1.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.0%	58.4%
Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State	Southern Illinois ML	-118 @ DraftKings	5.3%	59.5%
Arizona vs. Kansas	Kansas +2.5	-102 @ FanDuel	5.1%	55.6%
Northwestern State vs. Lamar	Lamar -7.5	-110 @ BetMGM	4.9%	57.3%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Navy vs. Bucknell (6:00PM ET, Monday)
• Xavier vs. St. John's (6:30PM ET, Monday)
• Jackson State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff (6:30PM ET, Monday)
• Southern Illinois vs. Indiana State (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• North Carolina State vs. Louisville (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Texas Southern vs. Bethune-Cookman (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Northwestern State vs. Lamar (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Yale vs. Howard (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Prairie View A&M vs. Florida A&M (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Central Arkansas vs. North Alabama (7:00PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 9, 2026, featuring plays such as Alcorn State ML and Prairie View A&M +3.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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