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Men's college basketball picks today: Black Friday best bets include Drake vs. LSU play [11/28/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get college basketball picks and best bets for Friday, November 28, 2025.

Men's College Basketball Best Bets.
These men's college basketball betting picks for November 28, 2025, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Friday's games.

Today’s men's college basketball picks for Black Friday are here, with Drake vs. LSU among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s men's college basketball schedule.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest men's college basketball odds to unearth legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NCAAM picks tonight [11/28, updated 9:03PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 men's college basketball bets, ranked by edge for Friday, November 28, 2025.

Drake ML (+600)

  • Edge: 8.7%
  • Probability: 23%
  • Matchup: Drake vs. LSU (9:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on Drake to defeat LSU at +600 odds. A 23% probability produces an edge of 8.7%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

 

Drake +11.5 (-102)

  • Edge: 8.5%
  • Probability: 59%
  • Matchup: Drake vs. LSU (9:30PM ET, Friday)

Drake +11.5 carries an 8.5% edge and a probability of 59% at -102 odds, according to our model.

 

Dayton +9.5 (-110)

  • Edge: 4.6%
  • Probability: 57%
  • Matchup: BYU vs. Dayton (9:30PM ET, Friday)

Dayton +9.5 vs. BYU at -110 odds shows a 4.6% edge, supported by a 57% probability in simulations.

 

Sacred Heart vs. Penn State under 160.5 points (-105)

A 5.6% edge and 56.8% probability make Sacred Heart vs. Penn State under 160.5 points at a value play in the Sacred Heart vs. Penn State matchup, per our model.

 

Air Force +3.5 (-115)

Air Force +3.5 at -115 odds presents a 4.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.4%.

 

Valparaiso ML (-235)

Our model finds value on Valparaiso to win at -235 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

 

Dayton +9.5 (-110)

  • Edge: 4.6%
  • Probability: 57%
  • Matchup: BYU vs. Dayton (9:30PM ET, Friday) Our model has uncovered value on Dayton +9.5 at -110 odds. A 57% probability produces a 4.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

 

Dayton ML (+400)

  • Edge: 4.0%
  • Probability: 23.9%
  • Matchup: BYU vs. Dayton (9:30PM ET, Friday)

A 4.0% edge on a 23.9% probability makes Dayton to win at +400 odds a solid value play in today's BYU vs. Dayton matchup.

 

Santa Clara -4.5 (-110)

Our model projects value on Santa Clara -4.5 at -110 odds. A 55.6% probability produces a 3.2% edge, making Santa Clara the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

 

Norfolk State +34.5 (-108)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Norfolk State +34.5 at -108 odds shows a 55% probability and a 3.1% edge.

 

NCAAM best bets summary: Friday, 11/28/2025

As of 9:03PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Probability
Drake vs. LSU Drake ML +600 @ BetMGM 8.7% 23%
Drake vs. LSU Drake +11.5 -102 @ FanDuel 8.5% 59%
BYU vs. Dayton Dayton +9.5 -110 @ FanDuel 4.6% 57%
Sacred Heart vs. Penn State Under 160.5 Points -105 @ FanDuel 5.6% 56.8%
Air Force vs. South Dakota Air Force +3.5 -115 @ BetMGM 4.9% 58.4%
Western Michigan vs. Valparaiso Valparaiso ML -235 @ BetMGM 4.7% 73.2%
BYU vs. Dayton Dayton +9.5 -110 @ FanDuel 4.6% 57%
BYU vs. Dayton Dayton ML +400 @ FanDuel 4.0% 23.9%
Minnesota vs. Santa Clara Santa Clara -4.5 -110 @ BetMGM 3.2% 55.6%
Norfolk State vs. Arizona Norfolk State +34.5 -108 @ DraftKings 3.1% 55%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for November 28, 2025, featuring plays such as Drake ML and Drake +11.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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