Men's college basketball picks today: Friday's best bets include Miami (FL) vs. Virginia play [3/13/2026]

Virginia -2.5 (-110)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Matchup: Miami (FL) vs. Virginia (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on Virginia -2.5 at -110 odds. A 61.5% probability produces an edge of 9.2%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Akron -6.5 (-120)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 62%
• Matchup: Kent State vs. Akron (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Akron -6.5 carries a 7.5% edge and a probability of 62% at -120 odds, according to our model.

Florida A&M +3.5 (-115)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Matchup: Southern University vs. Florida A&M (8:30PM ET, Friday)

Florida A&M +3.5 vs. Southern University at -115 odds shows a 7.0% edge, supported by a 60.5% probability in simulations.

Michigan State -5.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: UCLA vs. Michigan State (9:00PM ET, Friday)

A 6.5% edge and 57.7% probability make Michigan State -5.5 vs. UCLA at a value play in the UCLA vs. Michigan State matchup, per our model.

Michigan State ML (-230)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 76.1%
• Matchup: UCLA vs. Michigan State (9:00PM ET, Friday)

Michigan State ML at -230 odds presents a 6.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 76.1%.

Pennsylvania +2.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Pennsylvania vs. Harvard (2:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on Pennsylvania +2.5 at -102 odds, supported by an edge of 5.1%.

Virginia ML (-155)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Matchup: Miami (FL) vs. Virginia (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model has uncovered value on Virginia ML at -155 odds. A 65.8% probability produces a 5.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Iowa State vs. Arizona over 144.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Iowa State vs. Arizona (7:00PM ET, Friday)

A 4.5% edge on a 56.9% probability makes over 144.5 points at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Iowa State vs. Arizona matchup.

Florida A&M ML (+136)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 46.8%
• Matchup: Southern University vs. Florida A&M (8:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model projects value on Florida A&M to win at +136 odds. A 46.8% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making Florida A&M the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Arizona -4.5 (-108)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Miami (FL) vs. Virginia (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Arizona -4.5 at -108 odds shows a 55.8% probability and a 3.9% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Friday, 3/13/2026

As of 3:13PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Miami (FL) vs. Virginia	Virginia -2.5	-110 @ BetMGM	9.2%	61.5%
Kent State vs. Akron	Akron -6.5	-120 @ FanDuel	7.5%	62%
Southern University vs. Florida A&M	Florida A&M +3.5	-115 @ BetMGM	7.0%	60.5%
UCLA vs. Michigan State	Michigan State -5.5	-105 @ BetMGM	6.5%	57.7%
UCLA vs. Michigan State	Michigan State ML	-230 @ FanDuel	6.4%	76.1%
Pennsylvania vs. Harvard	Pennsylvania +2.5	-102 @ FanDuel	5.1%	55.6%
Miami (FL) vs. Virginia	Virginia ML	-155 @ BetMGM	5.1%	65.8%
Iowa State vs. Arizona	Over 144.5 Points	-110 @ FanDuel	4.5%	56.9%
Southern University vs. Florida A&M	Florida A&M ML	+136 @ DraftKings	4.4%	46.8%
Iowa State vs. Arizona	Arizona -4.5	-108 @ FanDuel	3.9%	55.8%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt (3:30PM ET, Friday)
• North Texas vs. Tulsa (3:30PM ET, Friday)
• Massachusetts vs. Toledo (5:00PM ET, Friday)
• Duquesne vs. Virginia Commonwealth (5:00PM ET, Friday)
• Seton Hall vs. St. John's (5:30PM ET, Friday)
• South Carolina State vs. Howard (6:00PM ET, Friday)
• Purdue vs. Nebraska (6:30PM ET, Friday)
• Iowa State vs. Arizona (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Miami (FL) vs. Virginia (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Ole Miss vs. Alabama (7:00PM ET, Friday)

What Is Dimebot?

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for March 13, 2026, featuring plays such as Virginia -2.5 and Akron -6.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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