Men's college basketball picks today: Friday's best bets include SMU vs. Pittsburgh play [2/6/2026]

Today’s men's college basketball picks for February 6, 2026 are here, with SMU vs. Pittsburgh and Grand Canyon vs. UNLV among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s men's college basketball play.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest men's college basketball odds to find top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NCAAM picks tonight [2/6, updated 7:41PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 men's college basketball bets, ranked by edge for Friday, February 6, 2026.

Pittsburgh +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: SMU vs. Pittsburgh (2:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Pittsburgh +4.5 at -110 odds. A 58.4% probability produces an edge of 6.1%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

UNLV +3.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Grand Canyon vs. UNLV (4:30PM ET, Saturday)

UNLV +3.5 carries a 6.0% edge and a probability of 58.4% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Illinois-Chicago ML (+116)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Matchup: Belmont vs. Illinois-Chicago (9:00PM ET, Friday)

Illinois-Chicago ML at +116 odds shows a 5.3% edge, supported by a 51.7% probability in simulations.

Butler vs. Marquette under 156.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Butler vs. Marquette (2:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 5.3% edge and 56.5% probability make Butler vs. Marquette under 156.5 points at a value play in the Butler vs. Marquette matchup, per our model.

Wisconsin +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Wisconsin vs. Indiana (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

Wisconsin +3.5 at -102 odds presents a 5.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.5%.

Oregon vs. Purdue over 144.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Oregon vs. Purdue (1:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on over 144.5 points in Oregon vs. Purdue at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

St. John's +1.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Connecticut vs. St. John's (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model has uncovered value on St. John's +1.5 at -105 odds. A 55.8% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Illinois-Chicago +1.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Belmont vs. Illinois-Chicago (9:00PM ET, Friday)

A 4.5% edge on a 55.8% probability makes Illinois-Chicago +1.5 at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Belmont vs. Illinois-Chicago matchup.

Notre Dame -2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Florida State vs. Notre Dame (4:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model projects value on Notre Dame -2.5 at -105 odds. A 55.6% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making Notre Dame the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Miami (FL) -8.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Connecticut vs. St. John's (2:00PM ET, Saturday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Miami (FL) -8.5 at -102 odds shows a 54.8% probability and a 4.3% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Friday, 2/6/2026

As of 7:41PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
SMU vs. Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh +4.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.1%	58.4%
Grand Canyon vs. UNLV	UNLV +3.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.0%	58.4%
Belmont vs. Illinois-Chicago	Illinois-Chicago ML	+116 @ FanDuel	5.3%	51.7%
Butler vs. Marquette	Under 156.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	5.3%	56.5%
Wisconsin vs. Indiana	Wisconsin +3.5	-102 @ FanDuel	5.0%	55.5%
Oregon vs. Purdue	Over 144.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	4.7%	56%
Connecticut vs. St. John's	St. John's +1.5	-105 @ BetMGM	4.5%	55.8%
Belmont vs. Illinois-Chicago	Illinois-Chicago +1.5	-105 @ BetMGM	4.5%	55.8%
Florida State vs. Notre Dame	Notre Dame -2.5	-105 @ BetMGM	4.4%	55.6%
Miami (FL) vs. Boston College	Miami (FL) -8.5	-102 @ FanDuel	4.3%	54.8%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Connecticut vs. St. John's (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Bradley vs. Northern Iowa (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Drake vs. Illinois State (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Evansville vs. Valparaiso (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Murray State vs. Southern Illinois (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Belmont vs. Illinois-Chicago (9:00PM ET, Friday)
• Louisville vs. Wake Forest (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Wisconsin vs. Indiana (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Villanova vs. Georgetown (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 6, 2026, featuring plays such as Pittsburgh +4.5 and UNLV +3.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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