Men's college basketball picks today: Friday's best bets include Toledo vs. Kent State play [1/16/2026]

Toledo vs. Kent State under 170.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Toledo vs. Kent State (6:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on under 170.5 points in Toledo vs. Kent State at -105 odds. A 56.3% probability produces an edge of 5.1%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Toledo +4.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Toledo vs. Kent State (6:30PM ET, Friday)

Toledo +4.5 carries a 5.0% edge and a probability of 55.5% at -102 odds, according to our model.

Colorado State vs. Boise State over 141.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Colorado State vs. Boise State (10:30PM ET, Friday)

Colorado State vs. Boise State over 141.5 points at -105 odds shows a 4.0% edge, supported by a 55.3% probability in simulations.

Ball State +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Ohio vs. Ball State (8:30PM ET, Friday)

A 3.1% edge and 55.5% probability make Ball State +4.5 vs. Ohio at a value play in the Ohio vs. Ball State matchup, per our model.

Creighton vs. Providence under 162.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Creighton vs. Providence (6:30PM ET, Friday)

Creighton vs. Providence under 162.5 points at -105 odds presents a 3.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.2%.

Toledo ML (+195)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 36.1%
• Matchup: Toledo vs. Kent State (6:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on Toledo to win at +195 odds, supported by an edge of 2.2%.

NCAAM best bets summary: Friday, 1/16/2026

As of 1:37AM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Toledo vs. Kent State	Under 170.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	5.1%	56.3%
Toledo vs. Kent State	Toledo +4.5	-102 @ FanDuel	5.0%	55.5%
Colorado State vs. Boise State	Over 141.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	4.0%	55.3%
Ohio vs. Ball State	Ball State +4.5	-110 @ BetMGM	3.1%	55.5%
Creighton vs. Providence	Under 162.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	3.0%	54.2%
Toledo vs. Kent State	Toledo ML	+195 @ FanDuel	2.2%	36.1%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Creighton vs. Providence (6:30PM ET, Friday)
• Toledo vs. Kent State (6:30PM ET, Friday)
• Baylor vs. Kansas (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Marquette vs. DePaul (8:30PM ET, Friday)
• Ohio vs. Ball State (8:30PM ET, Friday)
• Loyola Chicago vs. Dayton (8:30PM ET, Friday)
• Colorado State vs. Boise State (10:30PM ET, Friday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for January 16, 2026, featuring plays such as under 170.5 points in the Toledo vs. Kent State matchup and Toledo +4.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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