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Memphis vs. USF prediction: South Florida favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Memphis vs USF predictions for college basketball Thursday.
USF will take on Memphis in men's college basketball action at Yuengling Center on Thursday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts South Florida as the most likely winner of the Memphis vs. USF game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Memphis vs. USF prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Memphis and USF 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives South Florida an 80% chance of beating Memphis. Our predicted final score has South Florida winning 86-76.
According to our model, South Florida (-8.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 163.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Memphis vs. USF odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Memphis | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-106) | -8.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +380 | -465 |
| Total | o163.5 (-110) | u163.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Memphis vs. USF picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | South Florida -8.5 | -114 |
| Moneyline | Memphis | +380 |
| Total | Under 163.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is South Florida -8.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Memphis vs. USF game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball game between USF and Memphis at Yuengling Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Memphis vs. South Florida
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Yuengling Center
Conclusion
We predict South Florida, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Memphis on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Memphis vs. South Florida insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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