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Read Article Dolphins vs. Melbourne Storm prediction: Dolphins favored to win Friday's NRL Round 9 matchup [5/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm predictions for NRL Friday.
Dolphins will square off with the Melbourne Storm in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Suncorp Stadium on Friday, starting at 6:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Dolphins as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Dolphins game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dolphins vs. Storm prediction: Who will win Round 9 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NRL matchup between the Storm and Dolphins, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Dolphins a 65% chance of beating the Storm.
According to our model, the Dolphins (-3.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 53.5-point over/under has a 62% chance of staying under.
Storm vs. Dolphins odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Storm | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +133 | -167 |
| Line (Spread) | +3.5 (-110) | -3.5 (-115) |
| Total | o53.5 (-115) | u53.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Dolphins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins -3.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | bet_rivers_in-167 |
| Total | Under 53.5 | -110 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 53.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dolphins vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rugby league game between the Dolphins and Storm at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:00 AM ET.
- Who: Melbourne Storm vs. Dolphins
- Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
- Time: 6:00 AM ET/3:00AM PT
- Venue: Suncorp Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Dolphins, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Friday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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