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Read Article Richmond Tigers vs. Melbourne Demons prediction: Why Demons are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 7 matchup [4/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Richmond Tigers vs Melbourne Demons predictions for AFL Friday.
The Richmond Tigers will take on the favored Melbourne Demons in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, beginning at 5:40 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Demons as the most likely winner of the Demons vs. Tigers game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Tigers vs. Demons prediction: Who will win Round 7 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL game between the Demons and Tigers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Demons an 85% chance of beating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Tigers (+40.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 181.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Melbourne vs. Richmond odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Demons | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -909 | +500 |
| Line (Spread) | -40.5 (-115) | +40.5 (-115) |
| Total | o181.5 (-115) | u181.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Demons vs. Tigers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tigers +40.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | +500 |
| Total | Under 181.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers +40.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tigers vs. Demons game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football action between the Tigers and Demons at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 5:40 AM ET.
- Who: Melbourne Demons vs. Richmond Tigers
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Time: 5:40 AM ET/2:40AM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Demons, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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