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Marquette vs. UConn prediction: Why Connecticut is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Marquette vs UConn predictions for college basketball Sunday.
UConn and Marquette will meet in men's college basketball action at Harry A. Gampel Pavilion on Sunday, starting at 2:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Connecticut as the most likely winner of the Marquette vs. UConn game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Marquette vs. UConn prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball matchup between Marquette and UConn 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Connecticut a 95% chance of defeating Marquette. Our predicted final score has Connecticut winning 83-64.
According to our model, Connecticut (-17.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 144.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Marquette vs. UConn odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Marquette | UConn |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +17.5 (-102) | -17.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +1280 | -2100 |
| Total | o144.5 (-114) | u144.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marquette vs. UConn picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Connecticut -17.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Connecticut | -2100 |
| Total | Over 144.5 | -114 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Connecticut -17.5 at the spread.
Marquette vs. UConn game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball game between UConn and Marquette at Harry A. Gampel Pavilion is scheduled to start at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Marquette vs. Connecticut
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Harry A. Gampel Pavilion
Conclusion
We predict Connecticut, with a 95% win probability, will likely beat Marquette on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Marquette vs. Connecticut insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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