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Mallorca vs. Girona prediction, odds, La Liga picks [1/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Mallorca vs Girona predictions for La Liga Sunday.
RCD Mallorca and Girona will meet in La Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on Sunday, with kickoff at 12:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Mallorca as the most likely winner of the RCD Mallorca vs. Girona game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
RCD Mallorca vs. Girona prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between RCD Mallorca and Girona 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 42.6% chance of RCD Mallorca winning, a 30.3% chance for Girona, and a 27.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of staying under, according to our model.
RCD Mallorca vs. Girona odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| RCD Mallorca | Girona | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +120 | +260 | +225 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +126 | -154 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
RCD Mallorca vs. Girona picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Girona | +260 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +126 |
According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Girona to win.
RCD Mallorca vs. Girona: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| RCD 1-1 GIR | 12.8% |
| RCD 1-0 GIR | 11.8% |
| RCD 0-1 GIR | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.2% chance of the yes hitting, and a 50.8% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Mallorca vs. Girona game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga matchup between RCD Mallorca and Girona at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is scheduled to start in the USA at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Mallorca vs. Girona
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Conclusion
According to our computer model, RCD Mallorca has a 42.6% win probability on Sunday, Girona has a 30.3% win probability, and there is a 27.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate RCD Mallorca vs. Girona insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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