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Mallorca vs. Girona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Mallorca vs. Girona at the La Liga on January 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Girona
2
1
Jan 4, 5:30PM Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Mallorca
Jan 4, 5:30PM Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MallorcaMCA
Score Summary
GironaGIR
V. Muriqi (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
V. Tsygankov (25')
Soccer ball icon
V. Vanat (pen.) (63')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MCA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
GIR
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mallorca by V. Muriqi (pen.)
2-1
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: J. Llabres replaces P. Maffeo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: J. Roca replaces B. Gil
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Frances replaces T. Lemar
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: M. Joseph replaces T. Asano
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: P. Torre replaces S. Darder
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: A. Sanchez replaces Samu Costa
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by V. Vanat (pen.)
2-0
59'
Yellow Card
A. Moreno (Girona) cautioned
58'
Yellow Card
S. Darder (Mallorca) cautioned
52'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: O. Mascarell replaces M. Morlanes
37'
Yellow Card
Samu Costa (Mallorca) cautioned
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by V. Tsygankov, assisted by Vitor Reis
1-0

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Mallorca vs. Girona: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Mallorca vs. Girona prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Mallorca vs. Girona
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mallorca +125, Girona +260, draw +215
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+125/-152)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Mallorca: 42.7%
  • Girona: 29.9%
  • Draw: 27.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Mallorca 1-1 Girona, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Mallorca is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 42.7% probability, while Girona sits at 29.9%, with the draw at 27.4%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Mallorca vs. Girona prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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